Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
19-Sep-25 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
20-Sep-24 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
22-Sep-23 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
23-Sep-22 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
24-Sep-21 A- A2 Stable Maintain -
About the Entity

ESML was incorporated in 1988 as a public limited Company. The core operating activity of the Company is the manufacture and sale of yarn with a production capacity of 79,200 spindles. The Company operates with a production capacity of ~16.5mln kg. ESML is majorly (~71%) owned by Nagina Group, through group companies and sponsoring individuals. The board comprises 10 directors, which includes 05 non-executive directors, 03 independent directors & 02 executive directors. Mr. Shahzad Ellahi Shaikh is the Chairman of the Board, and Mr. Haroon Shahzada Ellahi Shaikh is the CEO of the Company.

Rating Rationale

The assigned rating of Ellcot Spinning Mills Limited (“ESML” or “the Company”) reflects the prominent profile of the sponsoring group – Nagina Group (“the Group”), one of the oldest medium-sized textile groups in Pakistan. The Group includes six private limited companies and three publicly listed companies, including Nagina Cotton Mills Limited (NCML) and ESML in spinning, as well as Prosperity Weaving Mills Limited (PWLM) in weaving. The rating takes comfort from the consolidated financial strength of the sponsoring group and ESML’s reputable clientele that it has acquired over the years. The Company has maintained strategic investments in mutual funds, listed stocks, and term deposits that can be liquidated when needed. ESML is engaged in the production of pure cotton and polyester cotton through a spinning unit with an installed capacity of 79,200 spindles, mainly serving local markets while maintaining a global client base. To improve operational efficiency, ESML plans to incorporate BMR initiatives over the next couple of years. The Company has achieved capacity utilization of 100.0% with a production capacity of ~16.5mln Kg. ESML has also undertaken renewable energy initiatives aimed at creating a cushion in its cost structure. During the year, ESML increased the capacity of its solar power plant to 2.4MW from 1MW and plans to further expand with a 1.1MW solar power plant in the next three months, fully financed through traditional loans. This addition will raise the Company’s overall solar capacity to 3.5MW. The spinning industry suffered due to international price declines and diminished local production. Moreover, China's reciprocal tariffs with the USA had suppressed demand in the global markets during the period. During 9MFY25, the Company reported a topline of PKR 12.1bln (FY24: PKR 15.5bln, 9MFY24: PKR 11.3bln), reflecting YoY growth of 7.1%. The Company has sustained its profitability on the back of high-quality products, moving to 26/s count yarn production. However, the gross profit margins decreased by 0.5% during the nine months, translated from elevated energy costs (9MFY25: 6.5%, 9MFY24: 7.0%). The company's bottom line surged to PKR 110mln, a 103.1% increase (FY24: PKR 153mln, 9MFY24: PKR 54mln), reflecting diminished finance costs and buffer from investment returns. The company's financial risk is considered moderate, with a stretched working capital structure, fulfilling its requirements through a combination of short-term borrowings and internally generated cash flows. The Company maintains a long-term-financed capital structure with moderate coverage ratios and cash flows.

Key Rating Drivers

The ratings are dependent on the Company’s ability to increase business margins through operational efficiencies and product quality. The sustainability of cash flows and coverages at a comfortable level remains critical for the ratings. Going forward, consistent growth in accumulated profits should supplement the equity levels.

Profile
Legal Structure

Ellcot Spinning Mills Limited ('ESML' or 'the Company') was incorporated in 1988 under the Companies Ordinance, 1984 (repealed with the enactment of the Companies Act, 2017) as a public limited company.


Background

ESML has been associated with Nagina Group ("the Group")since its inception. Over the period, the Group has managed to grow from a single spinning company to multiple spinning entities and a weaving company.


Operations

The Company is primarily engaged in the manufacturing and sale of yarn, with an installed capacity of 79,200 operating spindles and an annual production capacity of approx 16.5mln kgs, based on 26/s count. The Company has a total energy requirement of 8.33MW, primarily met through gas generators. ESML has already installed a 2.4MW solar power plant and is in the process of installing an additional 1.1MW. The Company’s manufacturing facility is located in district Kasur, Punjab.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

ESML is majority (~70.93%) owned by the Nagina Group, through the group companies (24.32%) and sponsoring individuals (46.61%), including Mr. Raza Ellahi Shaikh (12.79%) and Mr. Amin Ellahi Shaikh (12.79%).The remaining stake of the Company rests with financial institutions (~23.21%) and the general public (~5.85%).


Stability

The Nagina Group's stability is anchored by the Ellahi family's strong leadership and a clear governance structure. The Group has a structured line of succession, as seen in ESML, where Mr. Raza Ellahi Shaikh and Mr. Amin Shahzada Ellahi Shaikh serve as non-executive directors, while Mr. Haroon Ellahi Shaikh holds the position of executive director. However, the transfer of ownership to the next generation is yet to be realized.


Business Acumen

Nagina Group is one of the oldest medium-sized textile houses in Pakistan, operating for more than five decades with credential expertise in spinning and weaving. The Group has adequately expanded its capacities despite the competitive textile industry.


Financial Strength

The Group comprises of three listed public limited companies, namely; i) Ellcot Spinning Mills Limited, ii) Prosperity Weaving Mills Limited (PWML) and iii) Nagina Cotton Mills Limited (NCML), and six private limited companies i.e., Monell (Pvt.) Limited, Icaro (Pvt.) Limited, Haroon Omer (Pvt.) Limited, Ellahi International (Pvt.) Limited, ARH (Pvt.) Limited and Pacific Industries (Pvt.) Limited. The Group can provide comfort in case any future demand arises.


Governance
Board Structure

ESML's board comprises ten members, out of which five members are non-executive and two members occupy executive seats, including the CEO, while three directors are independent.


Members’ Profile

Mr. Shahzada Ellahi Shaikh, the Chairman, possesses 48 years of experience in the textile industry and holds a bachelor’s degree in economics and international relations. Among the other board members, Mr. Shafqat Ellahi Shaikh has 43 years of industry-specific experience and holds a B.A. in economics and religion from Columbia University. Mr. Shaukat Ellahi Shaikh has 46 years of overall experience in the textile industry and holds a bachelor’s degree in economics and political sciences.


Board Effectiveness

Three committees: audit committee, executive committee, and human resource & remuneration committee, are in place to assist the board in relevant matters and ensure proper oversight. During FY25, board meetings were held quarterly, to discuss the Company's performance. The minutes of the board meetings are documented properly. The sponsors play an active role and provide guidance to the management in the Company's operations.


Financial Transparency

M/s. Rahman Sarfaraz Rahim Iqbal Rafiq, Chartered Accountants, serve as the external auditors to the Company. The firm is listed in the A category on the State Bank of Pakistan's panel of auditors and has expressed an unqualified opinion on the financial statements of the Company for FY24.


Management
Organizational Structure

The top-tier management positions of the operating companies within the Nagina Group (NCML, ESML and PWML) are held by the Ellahi family. The management's control vests with the Ellahi family through a defined reporting line, ensuring operational excellence. The Company's organizational structure is broadly divided into seven functional departments: (i) marketing, (ii) finance, (iii) accounts, (iv) administration and corporate, (v) commercial (fixed asset procurement), (vi) export and (vii) internal audit.


Management Team

Mr. Haroon Shahzada Ellahi Sheikh is the Chief Executive Officer of the Company. He is well versed with the textile business and has strong business acumen. He is supported by a team of seasoned professionals, supplementing his expertise. Mr. Muhammad Ahmad is the Chief Financial Officer. He is associated with ESML since 2006 and is also well verse with the textile business.


Effectiveness

The management meetings are held on a daily basis with follow-up points to resolve or proactively address operational issues, if any, eventually ensuring a smooth flow of operations. The Company’s MIS can be classified into three categories on the basis of reporting periodicity – daily, weekly and monthly.


MIS

The Company has upgraded its system from FOXPRO technology to Oracle ERP solution. It enables the users to efficiently record loom-wise packed fabric production and supports BAM-wise recording of warping, sizing, loom, and folding processes. The ERP solution helps to streamline core business operations, enhance financial management, and provide real-time insights for more informed decision-making.


Control Environment

The Company is accredited with multiple certifications for compliance and quality assurance, namely; ISO 9001:2008, Standard 100 by OEKOTEX, Global Organic Textile Standards (GOTS), Organic Content Standard, Organic Content Standard 100 and Organic Content Standard Blended.


Business Risk
Industry Dynamics

During MY25, approximately 24.4mln MT of cotton was produced globally, compared to about 24.2 million MT in MY24. Throughout the year, low cotton production was observed in India and Pakistan. However, this was partly offset by increases in cotton production in China, the United States, and Brazil by roughly 9.7%, 19.4%, and 15.7%, respectively. China remains the largest producer and consumer of cotton worldwide (MY21-25). Pakistan's cotton output declined by approximately 30.7%, due to reduced cultivation area and a surge in duty-free imports of cotton and yarn, which disrupted domestic markets. Conversely, cotton imports increased by around 234.0% YoY during the same period to satisfy domestic demand (FY24: roughly 70.0% YoY decline). Cotton arrivals for FY24-25 totaled to about 5.5mln bales. The target for cotton production in FY26 is set at approximately 10.2mln bales.


The sector's rising dependence on imported cotton poses a supply-side risk. During the FY25 ended, imports accounted for approximately 35% of the cotton supply (~11% in FY24), adding about USD 1.27bln (USD 448mln in FY24) to the country's import bill. Textile exports reached USD 17.9bln in FY25, a modest rise from USD 16.7bln the previous year, reflecting a 7.2% year-over-year growth. The largest contribution came from the composite and garments segment, at USD 14bln, which included the weaving segment at USD 1.8bln and the spinning segment at USD 0.7bln. The production of cotton cloth in FY25 declined by approximately 0.7% year over year, reaching around 877.1mln square meters. During FY25, about 25.3% of the cotton cloth produced was exported (compared to roughly 27.2% in FY24), with the rest used for the domestic market. The country's fabric exports fell by approximately 4.4% on YoY basis in FY25 (FY24: up about 5.8% on YoY basis), with approximately 23.4% of Pakistan's cotton cloth exports going to Bangladesh (compared to about 19.9% in FY24), followed by the USA with about 8.1% of cotton cloth exports (approximately 7.8% in FY24).


In FY25, the transition from the final tax regime to the normal tax regime is expected to affect the profitability of export-oriented units, with a 29% tax on profits and a super tax of up to 10%. The recent removal of GST exemption (Finance Bill, 2025) on textile inputs for exporters registered under the Export Facilitation Scheme (EFS) will offer tax protection and create a level playing field for domestic cotton and yarn producers. Currently, international cotton prices are higher than the price of locally produced cotton. The gap has widened to approximately 9.8 cents per pound (as of July 18, 2025), resulting in an average increase of about USD 36.8 per bale of imported cotton. A greater reliance on imported cotton could lead to higher raw material costs, ultimately impacting yarn prices and profit margins for the sector. Conversely, energy and finance costs are expected to stay within a range, given the projected reduction in interest rates and the absence of any major energy tariff increases.


While the sector continues to demonstrate resilience on the export front, the margin outlook for FY26 appears challenging. Upstream segments such as spinning face greater downside risk from raw material inflation, while vertically integrated composite units with stronger export linkages are better positioned to defend profitability. Overall, the sector hinges on the ability to secure a stable cotton supply chain and navigate upcoming fiscal adjustments. Without structural improvement in domestic cotton production, earnings volatility is likely to persist.


Relative Position

ESML derives strength from its association with the Nagina Group, which holds a prominent position in the textile industry with a long operating history. The Group's extensive spinning capacity enhances ESML's competitive standing. However, on a standalone basis, ESML’s share in the local spinning industry is minimal.


Revenues

During 9MFY25, the Company reported a topline of PKR 12.1bln (FY24: PKR 15.5bln, 9MFY24: PKR 11.3bln), reflecting a YoY growth of 7.1% on the back of improved yarn prices.The Company's strategic move to a finer yarn count of 26/s reduced volumetric sales but successfully boosted sales value. The Company's revenue stream comes solely from yarn sales, with ~87% contributed by the local market and the rest ~13% from direct exports.


Margins

During 9MFY25, gross margin experienced a decline to 6.5% (9MFY24: 7.0%) primarily due to a demand shortage of yarn, coupled with a hike in raw material and energy costs. This translated into a deteriorated operating margin (9MFY25: 4.4%; 9MFY24: 4.8%). Despite this net margin improved to 0.9% (9MFY24: 0.5%), attributable to diminished finance costs (9MFY25: PKR 263mln, 9MFY24: PKR 381mln).


Sustainability

The Management remains focused on achieving its financial projections through strategic initiatives, including cost reduction, targeted marketing, and product diversification to strengthen resilience. A key part of this strategy is to improve financial performance by reducing energy costs through increased reliance on renewable energy sources.


Financial Risk
Working capital

The Company fulfills its working capital requirements through a mix of internal cash flows and short-term borrowing. At the end-Mar25, the net working capital cycle reduced to 77 days (FY24: 80 days) owing to a decrease in inventory days (9MFY25: 54 days, FY24: 58 days). The Company witnessed a significant increase in trade assets (9MFY25: PKR 4,530mln; FY24: PKR 3,952mln), as inline with the industry trend.


Coverages

During 9MFY25, the Company recorded a decline in free cash flows (9MFY25: PKR 807mln; 9MFY24: PKR 866mln) on account of a decrease in EBITDA. Finance cost decreased  to PKR 263mln during the 9MFY25 (9MFY24: PKR 381mln). Reduction in finance cost improved the interest coverage, resulting in 3.1x during the nine months of FY25 (9MFY24: 2.5x) and the debt pay back period reduced to 5.2 years (9MFY24: 6 years).


Capitalization

At end-Mar25, the Company's leverage decreased to 47.1% (FY24: 49.9%). The total debt decreased to stand at PKR 3,826mln (FY24: PKR 4,201mln); out of which, short-term borrowing constituted only 0.3%. The equity base of the company improved to stand at PKR 4,289mln (FY24: 4,211mln), attributable to the increase in the unappropriated profits.


 
 

Sep-25

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Mar-25
9M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
Jun-22
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 4,630 4,851 5,361 4,082
2. Investments 337 1,105 185 635
3. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
4. Current Assets 5,075 4,312 5,055 4,664
a. Inventories 2,848 1,937 3,027 3,053
b. Trade Receivables 1,100 1,074 945 1,033
5. Total Assets 10,042 10,268 10,601 9,380
6. Current Liabilities 1,305 1,255 1,058 997
a. Trade Payables 92 83 75 66
7. Borrowings 3,826 4,201 4,849 3,922
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 623 600 673 722
10. Net Assets 4,289 4,211 4,021 3,739
11. Shareholders' Equity 4,289 4,211 4,021 3,739
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 12,112 15,511 12,224 10,873
a. Cost of Good Sold (11,328) (14,464) (11,182) (8,725)
2. Gross Profit 784 1,047 1,042 2,149
a. Operating Expenses (251) (332) (343) (302)
3. Operating Profit 533 715 699 1,846
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 71 (81) 62 (55)
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 603 633 761 1,792
a. Total Finance Cost (263) (481) (189) (163)
b. Taxation (230) 1 (152) (398)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 110 153 420 1,231
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 807 1,065 908 1,940
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 519 556 632 1,800
c. Changes in Working Capital (760) 928 (220) (1,888)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities (241) 1,484 412 (89)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities 736 (732) (1,060) (1,485)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (478) (784) 742 1,589
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period 18 (32) 94 16
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 4.1% 26.9% 12.4% 40.9%
b. Gross Profit Margin 6.5% 6.8% 8.5% 19.8%
c. Net Profit Margin 0.9% 1.0% 3.4% 11.3%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 0.4% 12.8% 5.6% 0.5%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 3.4% 3.7% 10.8% 39.1%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 79 82 120 104
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 77 80 118 102
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 3.9 3.4 4.8 4.7
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 3.6 2.7 6.6 14.7
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 1.1 1.0 1.4 3.3
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 5.2 6.8 6.0 1.9
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 47.1% 49.9% 54.7% 51.2%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 61.4 64.0 234.4 111.0
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 8.3% 10.2% 3.7% 3.8%

Sep-25

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Sep-25

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Sep-25

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