Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
08-Dec-25 AAA A1+ Stable Maintain -
06-Dec-24 AAA A1+ Stable Maintain -
08-Dec-23 AAA A1+ Stable Maintain -
09-Dec-22 AAA A1+ Stable Maintain -
10-Dec-21 AAA A1+ Stable Maintain -
About the Entity

PARCO, established in 1974, operates Pakistan’s most modern refinery with a 120,000 bpd capacity and a 2,000 km cross-country pipeline network, including PAPCO, where it holds a 62% stake. Its equity portfolio includes PARCO Pearl Gas (100%), PARCO Gunvor Limited (formerly TOTAL PARCO Pakistan Limited) (50%), and PARCO Coastal Refinery (100%). The Company is overseen by a ten-member Board comprising six directors nominated by the Government of Pakistan (including the Chairman and the Managing Director) and four nominated by ADPI (including one representing OMV), indicating the interests of the EAD. Mr. Irteza Ali Qureshi assumed the role of Managing Director in February 2024.

Rating Rationale

The ratings incorporate Pak-Arab Refinery Limited’s (PARCO or the Company) dual-sovereign ownership, with a 60% stake held by the Government of Pakistan (GoP) and 40% by Abu Dhabi Petroleum Investment Company (ADPI), a subsidiary of Mubadala Investment Company (UAE). The assigned ratings, together with its dual-sovereign ownership, underscore PARCO’s strategic importance in Pakistan’s domestic energy value chain. The Company remains integral to the country’s energy infrastructure, with an extensive pipeline network that facilitates the efficient and environmentally responsible transportation of petroleum products nationwide. Global refining margins remained under pressure during the FY25 amid volatile crude oil markets, geopolitical tensions, and shifting supply–demand dynamics. While product prices for gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel experienced intermittent increases, they generally lagged rising crude benchmarks, compressing crack spreads and constraining refinery profitability. Weak demand for residual fuels, particularly High Sulphur Furnace Oil (HSFO), which continues to face structural decline due to environmental and efficiency considerations, further weighed on international refining economics. Pakistan’s refining sector reflected similar pressures in FY25. Total refining capacity stood at approx. 22mlnMTPA, while consumption of major petroleum products increased to ~17.53mln MT, supported by improved macroeconomic stability, moderating inflation, and policy rate reductions. Local refineries, including PARCO, supplied 10.54mln MT, meeting roughly 60% of national demand, with the balance covered through imports. Despite demand recovery, sector profitability remained constrained by tighter product-crude spreads, declining global crude prices, and the continued inflow of untaxed HSD through informal channels, resulting in inventory build-ups and suboptimal utilization. FO demand weakened further due to the ongoing energy mix transition, although exports exceeding 1.4mln tones in FY25 provided partial relief. PARCO’s sales declined by 15.6% in FY25 to PKR 965bln, down from PKR 1,143bln in FY24, reflecting major maintenance activity (Turnaround-05) carried out at the plant during the first half of FY25. Early signs of recovery emerged in 1QFY26, with annualized 1QFY26 sales showing a 9.5% increase compared to the full-year sales of FY25. As of FY25, PARCO maintained a leading market share of 44%. The Company’s financial profile benefits from strong free cash flow generation, conservative financial policies, and a sound liquidity position. Its operations are moderately leveraged and funded through a mix of internal resources and short-term bank borrowings, with additional support from returns on investments in subsidiaries and associates. The equity base stood at approx. PKR 126,408mln as of September 2025. PARCO completed the TA5 activity successfully, performing major maintenance, inspections and repairs. Government made the first disbursement in 1QFY26 against the permitted adjustment of disallowed input sales tax for FY25, while PARCO and the wider industry continue to engage with the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) and the Ministry of Energy (Petroleum Division) to finalize the mechanism for recovery of disallowed input sales tax for FY26.

Key Rating Drivers

PARCO continues to focus on the smooth execution of upcoming projects and remains engaged with the evolving policy landscape of the refining sector. Ongoing technological enhancements are expected to support operational efficiency and resilience.

Profile
Legal Structure

Pak-Arab Refinery Limited (PARCO), established in 1974 as a Pakistan–Abu Dhabi joint venture. PARCO operates as an unlisted public limited company, with its corporate headquarters in Karachi and a state-of-the-art refinery located at Mahmood Kot near Multan.


Background

PARCO was established with the objective of developing the Mid-Country Refinery (MCR) and an integrated pipeline network to enable efficient crude oil transportation from Karachi to Mahmood Kot. The cross-country pipeline system was commissioned in 1981, marking a key advancement in Pakistan’s energy infrastructure. In 2000, PARCO commissioned the Mid-Country Refinery, one of the country’s most advanced and complex facilities. Following a major revamp, the refinery now has a processing capacity of approximately 120,000 barrels per day, significantly strengthening the national petroleum supply chain. To extend product distribution, PARCO commissioned the 362-km Mahmoodkot–Faisalabad–Machhike (MFM) Pipeline in 1997. Designed for the transport of refined products such as diesel and kerosene, enhancing the efficiency and reliability of product movement across the region.


Operations

PARCO operates most extensive and strategically important energy infrastructures, encompassing refining, transportation, and marketing of petroleum products. They produces a wide range of products including High-Speed Diesel, Motor Gasoline, Furnace Oil, LPG, HOBC, Kerosene, Jet Fuels (JP-1 & JP-8), Asphalt, Sulphur, and Light Diesel Oil. Its integrated pipeline network, extending over 2,000 kilometers, transports crude oil and refined products from Karachi to Mahmood Kot and onward to Faisalabad and Machike. Equipped with advanced SCADA and telecommunication systems, PARCO ensures safe and efficient operations. Through consistent maintenance and modern technologies such as Chemical Drag Reducers, PARCO maintains high operational reliability. This extensive infrastructure forms a vital energy lifeline for Pakistan’s central and northern regions, ensuring secure and cost-effective fuel supply.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

PARCO is a joint venture between the Government of Pakistan (GoP) and the Emirate of Abu Dhabi (EAD), reflecting a longstanding partnership between the two nations in Pakistan’s energy sector. The Government of Pakistan, represented by the Ministry of Energy (Petroleum Division), holds a 60% equity stake, while the remaining 40% is owned by the Emirate of Abu Dhabi through Abu Dhabi Petroleum Investments LLC (ADPI), a majority-owned subsidiary of Mubadala Investment Company, the sovereign investment arm of the Abu Dhabi Government.


Stability

PARCO’s stability remains strong, supported by its sovereign-backed ownership and integrated operations spanning refining, transportation, and marketing. The Company’s resilient business model ensures consistent cash flows and operational reliability. Committed to responsible and sustainable practices, PARCO actively mitigates environmental and operational risks while embracing climate change initiatives for a sustainable future, and this can be witnessed from the fact that Pak-Arab Refinery Limited (PARCO) was honored at the 22nd Annual Environment Excellence Awards 2025, receiving the Environment Excellence Award for the 20th consecutive year. It fosters an inclusive, safe, and transparent work environment that values diversity and talent. Guided by its “Zero Harm” vision, PARCO embeds Health, Safety, and Environment (HSE) excellence into every aspect of its operations to protect people, assets, and the environment. In recognition of these efforts, PARCO secured the Fire & Safety Award 2025 at the 15th Annual Fire Safety Awards.


Business Acumen

The Government of Pakistan regards PARCO as a vital national asset, ensuring the country’s energy security through its refining and transportation network. Complementing this, Abu Dhabi Petroleum Investments LLC (ADPI) contributes international expertise, advanced technology, and global best practices to enhance operational efficiency. The combined strengths of sovereign ownership, technical proficiency, and strategic foresight from both partners underpin PARCO’s strong governance, financial discipline, and sustained leadership in Pakistan’s energy sector.


Financial Strength

The bilateral state partnership ensures exceptional financial resilience and stability. The likelihood of timely sovereign support remains high in the event of financial or operational stress. Mubadala, Abu Dhabi’s premier strategic investment entity operating in more than 50 countries, adds substantial financial backing and global expertise. This combination of government commitment and international investment capability grants PARCO access to extensive capital resources, supporting its sustained growth and infrastructure development.


Governance
Board Structure

PARCO is governed by a ten-member Board of Directors (BoD), six are nominated by the GoP, including the Chairman and the Managing Director (MD), ensuring alignment with Pakistan’s energy policies. The remaining four directors are nominated by ADPI (including one representing OMV), indicating the interests of the EAD. This balanced composition of the Board ensures that both stakeholders have a significant influence on the strategic direction and governance of the Company, combining the GoP's focus on national energy security and EAD's technical and financial expertise.


Members’ Profile

Mr. Momin Agha, the Chairman of Pak-Arab Refinery Limited (PARCO), brings a wealth of experience in general management. Currently serving as Secretary in the Ministry of Petroleum, Mr. Agha also holds a directorship at Oil & Gas Development Company Limited (OGDCL). PARCO’s board comprises of highly qualified members, mostly from well-renowned institutions. It has a blend of business studies, general management, law, engineering, and finance professionals. Experience profile of the board is rich.


Board Effectiveness

In FY25, the Board of Directors held several meetings to discuss strategic matters including the adoption of financial results, review the progress of ongoing major projects, and assess the annual budget. The Board is supported by four committees: Finance, HR, Audit, Risk & Compliance and Investment. Each committee is chaired by a board member and includes other non-executive board members, ensuring effective oversight and governance across key areas of the Company.


Financial Transparency

PARCO's auditor, KPMG Taseer Hadi & Co. Chartered Accountants, one of the Big Four accounting firms, holds a satisfactory QCR rating from the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Pakistan (ICAP) and is classified in Category "A" on the State Bank of Pakistan's panel of auditors under Section 35 of the Banking Companies Ordinance, 1962. They have issued an unqualified opinion on the Company's financial statements as of June 30, 2025.


Management
Organizational Structure

The organizational structure of the Company is divided into various divisions and departments. All the divisions are managed by General Managers (GM) / Divisional Heads. Despite the GoP’s stake in the ownership structure of PARCO, the Company enjoys operational autonomy.



Management Team

Mr. Irteza Ali Qureshi assumed the role of Managing Director at PARCO in February 2024. He has been with the Company for over four years. A UK-qualified Chartered Accountant, Mr. Qureshi brings over 25 years of experience in business strategy, value creation, operational turnarounds, organizational restructuring, and business development. He began his career at PriceWaterhouseCoopers (PwC) in London in 1991 and has since held senior management positions in general and financial management across both the private and public sectors, as well as multinational organizations in Pakistan and abroad. Mr. Qureshi possesses extensive expertise in operations, finance, audit, consultancy, treasury, and business development. The management team is well qualified, mostly associated with the Company since long.


Effectiveness

Over the years, PARCO’s effective management has played a pivotal role in strengthening the organization through consistently progressive outcomes. Moreover, the management’s sound decision-making has helped make internal processes more structured and efficient.


MIS

The Company generates MIS reports on daily, fortnightly, monthly, and annual basis. These mainly include daily cash position, daily production report, saleable stock position, Treasury and Accounts section MIS, monthly debtors aging, monthly management accounts, and Annual Financial Statements.


Control Environment

PARCO implemented the latest version of SAP i.e. SAP S/4HANA Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system in 2024 to further strengthen its control environment and improve operational efficiency. The advanced platform integrates core business functions, including finance, supply chain, operations, and human resources, into a unified digital system. This upgrade has enhanced data accuracy, transparency, and real-time decision-making, enabling more effective planning, coordination, and performance monitoring across all business segments.


Business Risk
Industry Dynamics

As of FY25, Pakistan’s combined refining capacity stood at approximately 22 million MTPA, with total consumption of refined petroleum products, including Motor Spirit (MS), High-Speed Diesel (HSD), Kerosene, Jet Fuel, and Furnace Oil (FO), rising to ~17.53 million MT (FY24: 16.32 million MT). Local refineries supplied 10.54 million MT (FY24: 10.08 million MT), fulfilling around 60% of national demand, while imports covered the balance. The recovery in demand was underpinned by improved macroeconomic stability as inflation declined to 4.49% in FY 2025 (from 12.6% in FY 2024) and the policy rate was reduced by 950 bps to 11.0%, easing financing costs and supporting industrial activity. Despite these tailwinds, sector profitability was moderated by narrower product–crude spreads, softer global crude prices, and the ongoing presence of untaxed HSD entering through informal channels, which contributed to inventory build-ups and less-than-optimal utilization levels. FO demand further weakened due to the ongoing energy mix transition, although exports exceeded 1.4 million tones in FY25, providing some relief. Meanwhile, the sector’s USD 6 billion brownfield upgrade program faces delays following the IMF’s rejection of proposed fiscal incentives and uncertainty over input tax recoverability. Sustained policy clarity and fiscal support remain essential to restore margins, incentivize Euro-V compliant conversions, and ensure long-term sectoral viability.


Relative Position

PARCO, being the most advanced refinery in the country, consistently maintains a dominant market share. In FY25, PARCO's market share stood at approximately 44%, while Attock Refinery, Pakistan Refinery, National Refinery, and Cnergyico contributed around 14% each.


Revenues

PARCO’s sales declined by 15.6% in FY25 to PKR 965,108 million, down from PKR 1,143,395 million in FY24, which had seen a 19.6% growth. The decline is mainly due to major maintenance activity (Turnaround-05) carried out at the plant during the first half of FY25, along with broader industry-wide pressure on refining margins amid a challenging environment marked by volatile crude oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and shifting supply-demand dynamics. Early signs of recovery emerged in 1QFY26, with annualized 1QFY26 sales showing a 9.5% increase compared to the full-year sales of FY25.


Margins

The Company’s gross profit margin declined to approximately 3.9% in FY25 from 8.1% in FY24, but rebounded strongly to 10.7%, annualized in 1QFY26 compared to 0.6% in 1QFY25. Similarly, the net profit margin declined to approximately 2.3% in FY25 from 4.8% in FY24, before recovering to 6.0% in 1QFY26 on an annualized basis, compared to 1.1% in 1QFY25. This margin compression during FY25 was primarily driven by the narrowing spread between crude oil costs and refined product prices.


Sustainability

PARCO is in the process of conducting a feasibility study for refinery upgrades to achieve Euro-V compliance and reduce furnace oil production, in line with tariff protections available under the 2023 Refining Policy.


Financial Risk
Working capital

PARCO’s working capital requirements mainly arise from financing its crude oil inventory and receivables, with the company primarily relying on internal cash flows to cover these needs. Over the years, PARCO has demonstrated strong working capital management, reflected in efficient net working capital days of 31 in 1QFY26, 31 in FY25, and 37 in FY24. However, in 1QFY26, short-term borrowings surged to PKR 67,806 million, up significantly from PKR 19,163 million in FY25 and PKR 53,344 million in 1QFY25, mainly due to dividend payment.


Coverages

During FY25, the Company’s coverage ratio declined sharply to 1.3x from 7.2x in FY24, primarily due to higher interest expenses and reduced profitability, which resulted in a moderate decrease in cash flow from core operations. However, in 1QFY26, the coverage ratio improved markedly to 12.9x, supported by lower finance costs and a significant increase in free cash flow from operations (FCFO) to PKR 20,590 million, up from PKR 11,077 million in FY25. The Company’s financial resilience is further bolstered by consistent interest and dividend income.


Capitalization

PARCO maintains a moderate-leverage capital structure, with leverage standing at ~34.9% at the end of 1QFY26, a notable increase from 11.8% at the end of FY25 and 3.6% at the close of FY24. The Company’s debt primarily consists of short-term borrowings, which fluctuates in response to working capital requirements.


 
 

Dec-25

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Sep-25
3M
Jun-25
12M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 48,272 48,088 39,574 36,871
2. Investments 108,464 107,943 110,252 102,886
3. Related Party Exposure 10,930 10,930 11,207 11,381
4. Current Assets 221,471 189,051 211,369 230,304
a. Inventories 100,128 84,934 96,472 114,196
b. Trade Receivables 89,913 76,035 89,790 83,357
5. Total Assets 389,137 356,013 372,402 381,442
6. Current Liabilities 164,946 162,833 157,091 127,513
a. Trade Payables 82,573 91,136 91,876 60,529
7. Borrowings 67,966 19,321 6,737 48,763
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 29,817 30,176 31,611 31,883
10. Net Assets 126,408 143,683 176,963 173,283
11. Shareholders' Equity 126,408 143,683 176,963 173,283
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 264,108 965,108 1,143,395 956,040
a. Cost of Good Sold (235,840) (927,914) (1,050,779) (841,663)
2. Gross Profit 28,268 37,195 92,617 114,377
a. Operating Expenses (2,779) (11,765) (11,421) (8,186)
3. Operating Profit 25,489 25,430 81,195 106,191
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 1,595 15,186 10,574 8,144
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 27,084 40,616 91,769 114,336
a. Total Finance Cost (1,594) (8,260) (4,934) (1,271)
b. Taxation (9,551) (10,142) (31,750) (46,469)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 15,939 22,214 55,085 66,596
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 20,590 11,077 35,638 68,015
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 19,227 3,499 31,276 66,863
c. Changes in Working Capital (41,705) 19,822 57,417 (70,729)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities (22,478) 23,321 88,693 (3,866)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities 23,545 17,654 7,651 (47,427)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (24,328) (55,114) (64,654) (22,043)
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period (23,261) (14,139) 31,691 (73,336)
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 9.5% -15.6% 19.6% 21.0%
b. Gross Profit Margin 10.7% 3.9% 8.1% 12.0%
c. Net Profit Margin 6.0% 2.3% 4.8% 7.0%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) -8.0% 3.2% 8.1% -0.3%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 47.2% 13.9% 31.5% 42.3%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 61 66 61 65
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 31 31 37 41
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.8
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 16.3 3.0 15.2 82.3
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 12.9 1.3 7.2 54.3
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 34.9% 11.8% 3.6% 21.9%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 107.5 71.6 69.9 85.2
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 11.1% 18.3% 16.6% 7.1%

Dec-25

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Dec-25

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  1. Rating Team Statements
    1. Rating is just an opinion about the creditworthiness of the entity and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security of the entity rated or to buy, hold, or sell the security rated, as the case may be. (Chapter III; 14-3-(x))
    2. Conflict of Interest
      1. The Rating Team or any of their family members have no interest in this rating (Chapter III; 12-2-(j))
      2. PACRA, the analysts involved in the rating process, and members of its rating committee and their family members do not have any conflict of interest relating to the rating done by them (Chapter III; 12-2-(e) & (k))
      3. The analyst is not a substantial shareholder of the customer being rated by PACRA [Annexure F; d-(ii)]
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    1. PACRA’s Rating Scale reflects the expectation of credit risk. The highest rating has the lowest relative likelihood of default (i.e., probability). PACRA’s transition studies capture the historical performance behavior of a specific rating notch. Transition behavior of the assigned rating can be obtained from PACRA’s Transition Study available at our website. (www.pacra.com) However, the actual transition of rating may not follow the pattern observed in the past. (Chapter III; 14-3(f)(vii))
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Dec-25

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