Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
10-Jul-26 AA- A1 Stable Maintain -
11-Jul-25 AA- A1 Stable Initial -
About the Entity

FESCO, incorporated as a public limited company in 1998, took over the assets and operations of the former Faisalabad Area Electricity Board from WAPDA. FESCO is responsible for electricity distribution and supply across a major region of Central Punjab, operating a vast network of grid stations and serving over 26 million people. Wholly owned by the Government of Pakistan, it is guided by a Board of Directors chaired by Mr. Omer Farooq Khan, with Mr. Muhammad Aamir as Chief Executive Officer.

Rating Rationale

Faisalabad Electric Supply Company Limited (FESCO) is a state-owned power distribution company operating under the Ministry of Energy – Power Division. As the key electricity distributor across the industrial hub of Faisalabad and seven surrounding districts of Central Punjab, the Company serves approximately 5.8 million connections, with a consumer mix predominantly domestic (89%), followed by commercial (8%), agricultural (1%), industrial (1%)and other general services (1%). Pakistan's power distribution sector continues to operate under considerable financial strain, with ex-WAPDA DISCOs collectively reporting elevated T&D losses and below-target recovery rates, which have contributed to circular debt and placed a recurring burden on the broader power sector. This has underscored the need for financial restructuring across the sector, for which the government has initiated a privatization program targeting select DISCOs as a key reform measure. FESCO is among the three DISCOs included in the first tranche of this agenda, alongside GEPCO and IESCO. The process has advanced, with the Cabinet Committee on Privatization approving the sale of up to 100% equity along with management control; EOIs were invited in May 2026, with FESCO’s submission deadline set for 7 July 2026. Against the national ex-WAPDA DISCO average T&D losses of 17.55%, FESCO's losses stood at 8.89% in FY25, marginally above its NEPRA-allowed limit of 8.38% — the smallest excess among all DISCOs. Similarly, against a sector-wide average recovery rate of 96.3%, FESCO recorded 100.4%, placing it among five DISCOs that have met or exceeded the regulatory target. FESCO's standing as one of the better-performing DISCOs is partly supported by the nature of its service territory — a relatively urbanized and industrialized belt of Central Punjab with a stronger consumer payment culture — in contrast to DISCOs like TESCO and HESCO, which operate across more dispersed, rural, or security-challenged geographies that structurally weigh on recovery and loss metrics. This operating-environment advantage remains a relevant consideration alongside FESCO’s own management practices in assessing its relative performance. Going forward, sector demand dynamics continue to shift on two fronts: industrial consumers migrating to the grid amid the new captive power levy, which could support consumption, set against rising distributed solar and off-grid adoption, which could weigh on it. Their combined effect on DISCOs generally, and on FESCO's operating profile specifically, remains a relevant consideration ahead. The Company’s leverage remains low, with no short-term borrowings and minimal long-term debt comprising only a concessional, government-facilitated ADB loan of Rs 5.5bln.

Key Rating Drivers

The assigned ratings draw comfort from FESCO's conservative capital structure, with low leverage and debt largely comprising concessional, government-facilitated financing, alongside its ability to sustain performance through T&D losses within NEPRA's limits and recovery ratio at current levels. This comfort is further supported by the Company's ownership by the Government of Pakistan and the associated governance and financial framework. However, this framework is expected to shift as privatization advances; the eventual investor profile, transaction structure, and transfer of ownership and management control could dilute the current government-backed comfort in the ratings. This, alongside evolving sector-wide dynamics and the regulatory and tariff framework, will remain a principal consideration in the assessment of the ratings going forward.

Profile
Legal Structure

Faisalabad Electric Supply Company Limited (“FESCO” or “the Company”) is a public limited company, incorporated on March 21, 1998 under the Companies Ordinance, 1984, (now Companies Act, 2017). Its registered office is located on West Canal Road, Abdullahpur, Faisalabad.


Background

FESCO was carved out of the erstwhile Faisalabad Area Electricity Board (FAEB), a constituent of the Pakistan Water and Power Development Authority (WAPDA), taking over its assets, liabilities, rights and obligations at the time of the power sector's unbundling. The NEPRA (Amendment) Act, 2018 subsequently separated the supply of electricity from the distribution (wires) business; since then, FESCO's licensed mandate has been confined to operating and maintaining the distribution network and supplying electricity to consumers within its service territory.


Operations

FESCO operates under a Distribution and Electric Supply License issued by NEPRA pursuant to the Regulation of Generation, Transmission and Distribution of Electric Power Act, 1997. Its service territory covers eight districts of Central Punjab - Faisalabad, Sargodha, Mianwali, Khushab, Jhang, Bhakkar, Toba Tek Singh and Chiniot - served through a network of 132-kV and 66-kV grid stations. As of December 2025, the Company served approx. 5.8mln connections across an estimated population base of over 26mln, with the consumer mix predominantly domestic (89%), followed by commercial (8%), agricultural (1%), industrial (1%) and other general services (1%).


Ownership
Ownership Structure

FESCO is wholly owned by the Government of Pakistan (GoP), with its shareholding registered in the name of the President of Pakistan and exercised through the Ministry of Energy – Power Division.


Stability

FESCO has remained under GoP ownership since its inception, although its privatization has featured on successive government agendas for over three decades — from the Council of Common Interests' original 1993 approval of a phased GENCO/DISCO privatization, through repeated reaffirmations by the Cabinet Committee on Privatization (CCOP) in 2009 and 2017, and a brief pivot toward an IPO-led divestment in 2016 that was subsequently shelved in favor of a strategic sale. This process has materially advanced over the past year: the CCOP has approved the sale of up to 100% of FESCO's equity together with management control, and the Privatization Commission formally invited Expressions of Interest on May 19, 2026, with FESCO's bid deadline set for July 7, 2026, ahead of GEPCO (August 6, 2026) and IESCO (September 7, 2026).The government has conducted international investor roadshows, including in Saudi Arabia, China and Türkiye. Pending the conclusion of this process, FESCO continues to operate under full GoP ownership and oversight.


Business Acumen

Operating as a distribution utility since 1998, FESCO has drawn on the State's institutional and financial backing to sustain service delivery across a large and geographically dispersed consumer base, while progressively building internal capacity in commercial management, network operations and regulatory affairs ahead of an anticipated change in ownership.


Financial Strength

As a wholly state-owned utility occupying a strategically important position within Pakistan's distribution network, FESCO has historically benefited from GoP financial support, including periodic equity injections, and continues to administer government-funded consumer subsidies — including the Tariff Differential Subsidy (TDS), the AQTA Subsidy, the Zero-Rated Industrial Rebate, and the Kissan Package Subsidy — that enable electricity to be supplied to qualifying consumers below cost-reflective rates. The continuity of the existing support framework will unfold upon the materialization of the privatization process, including the final ownership, governance, and financial support structure.


Governance
Board Structure

The Board of Directors was reconstituted by the Ministry of Energy (Power Division) in July 2024 for a three-year term, comprising nine members — five independent directors, three non-executive directors and one executive director — including two female directors. The current Board composition reflects the existing government ownership structure and may be reconstituted following the completion of the privatization process, in accordance with the post-transaction ownership and governance framework.


Members’ Profile

The Board brings together professionals from diverse backgrounds. Mr. Omer Farooq Khan, a businessman, chairs the Board as an independent director and has been associated with FESCO since September 2024. Mr. Muhammad Aamir, holding a B.Sc. in Electrical Engineering and an MBA in Finance, serves as Executive Director alongside his role as CEO. The independent directors include Ms. Zoe Khurshid Khan (LLB Hons, LLM), Engr. Pervaiz Iqbal (B.Sc. Electrical Engineering, MBA), Mr. Adil Bashir (BBA, MBA) and Mr. Amir Zia (Professional Engineer), contributing legal, engineering and commercial expertise respectively. Mr. Hassan Raza Saeed and Mr. Umer Azmatullah serve as non-executive directors representing government interests, while Ms. Lubna Usman (M.Sc. Psychology) rounds out the Board with a behavioral and administrative perspective.


Board Effectiveness

Five Board committees support FESCO's governance — covering audit and financial risk; HR, legal and HSE matters; technical and procurement initiatives; policy, strategy and marketing; and customer services and IT — each governed by documented Terms of Reference. The Audit and Technical Committees comprise five members each, with the remaining committees at six members apiece. The Audit, Customer Services and Risk Management Committees are mandated to meet at least quarterly, and overall Board attendance at committee meetings during the year remained satisfactory.


Financial Transparency

Riaz Ahmad & Company, Chartered Accountants, serve as FESCO's external auditors and issued an unqualified opinion on the Company's FY25 annual financial statements, albeit with an Emphasis of Matter paragraph on unresolved tax contingencies that did not modify the opinion. The same firm subsequently reviewed FESCO's condensed interim financial statements for the half year ended December 31, 2025, issuing its review conclusion in March 2026 with a similar Emphasis of Matter relating to ongoing income tax and sales tax matters pending before the Lahore High Court and, in several cases, referred to the Alternate Dispute Resolution Committee. FESCO's financial statements are prepared under the Companies Act, 2017 and applicable accounting standards, with management additionally preparing quarterly accounts for internal oversight.


Management
Organizational Structure

FESCO maintains a documented organizational structure intended to support effective governance and accountability. The Chief Executive Officer (CEO) holds overall management responsibility and reports to the Board with consolidated input from functional heads, including the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) and General Managers for Operations, Customer Services, Technical Services, Planning & Engineering, HR & Administration, IT, and Procurement & Stores. The Company Secretary and Chief Internal Auditor report independently to the Board.


Management Team

Mr. Muhammad Aamir (B.Sc. Electrical Engineering, MBA Finance) serves as CEO, bringing a long association with the Company since 1995. Mr. Nazir Ahmed, CFO since 1992, is a Fellow Public Finance Accountant and Fellow Chartered Management Accountant. Mr. Muhammad Fahim Habib serves as Chief Internal Auditor. The broader leadership team includes Mr. Umer Hayat (GM Operations), Mr. Muhammad Rafique (GM Technical), Ms. Sadaf Naz (GM Commercial & Customer Services) and Mr. Muzaffar Abbas (Company Secretary), supported by Director-General level appointments across HR, Administration, IT and Law. A dedicated Market Implementation and Regulatory Affairs Department (MIRAD), headed by Mr. Abid Rashid, oversees FESCO's preparation for the Competitive Trading Bilateral Contract Market (CTBCM) and manages tariff and regulatory matters with NEPRA. All senior management members have long-standing tenures with the Company and are supported by experienced teams.


Effectiveness

FESCO's management team brings extensive experience, professional qualifications, and long-standing tenure with the Company, enabling effective oversight of key functional areas. This ensures operational continuity, regulatory compliance, and structured implementation of strategic initiatives. The Board of Directors further strengthens management's role through its specialized committees, which provide oversight and strategic guidance on critical matters. Together, this governance framework promotes informed decision-making and ensures alignment with FESCO's overall objectives.


MIS

FESCO operates an Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system structured around financial reporting, human resources, transaction processing and management-level planning modules, integrated with the Company's consumer billing platform to support real-time data exchange and accurate billing.


Control Environment

The Company's internal audit function conducts regular reviews of financial, operational and compliance controls, complemented by dedicated teams targeting high-loss areas to reduce distribution losses, and a broader operational audit program covering procurement, HR and quality assurance.


Business Risk
Industry Dynamics

Pakistan's power distribution segment continues to operate largely under a centralized single-buyer model, with the Central Power Purchasing Agency (Guarantee) Limited (CPPA-G) procuring electricity from GENCOs and Independent Power Producers (IPPs) on behalf of eleven DISCOs, including K-Electric, and on-selling it at a uniform, NEPRA-determined tariff, with the gap between cost-reflective and notified tariffs bridged through government subsidy. NEPRA's State of the Industry Report 2025, released in January 2026, found that no DISCO met its regulator-approved T&D loss target during FY25: average sector-wide T&D losses stood at approximately 17.55%, against an allowed benchmark of 11.43%, an excess estimated to have cost the exchequer around Rs 265bln, while a sector-wide bill-recovery shortfall added a further Rs 132bln — together contributing close to Rs 397bln to circular debt during the year. The regulator identified PESCO, HESCO, SEPCO and QESCO as the weakest performers across most operational and financial indicators, while FESCO, GEPCO, IESCO, LESCO and MEPCO were among the few DISCOs to achieve better collection rates. The power sector is currently undergoing its most extensive transformation: the Competitive Trading Bilateral Contract Market (CTBCM), marking a shift from the single-buyer model, with the first competitive auction for 800 MW scheduled for September 2026. In parallel, the government is advancing the privatization of three top-performing DISCOs - FESCO, GEPCO, and IESCO and offering base returns with performance-based incentives to attract investors, while conducting international roadshows in Saudi Arabia, China, Türkiye, and the Middle East. FESCO's EOI submission deadline is July 7, 2026, followed by GEPCO on August 6 and IESCO on September 7, with bidding expected to proceed sequentially through December 2026.


Relative Position

FESCO is one of the ten state-owned DISCOs operating under the Ministry of Energy (Power Division) and is consistently ranked among the sector's top three performers, alongside GEPCO and IESCO. For FY25, FESCO reported T&D losses of approximately 8.89%, only marginally above its NEPRA-allowed benchmark of 8.38% and among the smallest excess-loss positions of any DISCO, against a sector average of roughly double the allowed limit. Its bill recovery ratio of around 100.4% placed it among the small group of DISCOs meeting or exceeding NEPRA's full-recovery target, in contrast to chronically weak recoverers such as QESCO, SEPCO and HESCO. Part of this relative strength reflects FESCO's service territory, given its textile and industrial base, and a comparatively urbanized catchment with a stronger consumer payment culture than DISCOs operating in more dispersed, rural or security-affected geographies. This favorable operating environment sits alongside FESCO's own commercial and loss-reduction practices.


Revenues

During the six months ended 31 December 2025 (1HFY26), FESCO recorded net revenue of PKR 240,938mln while total revenues for FY25 stood at PKR 470,120mln, up 2.0% YoY from PKR 461,024mln in FY24. Revenue growth has historically been driven by tariff adjustments and recognition of Tariff Differential Subsidies (TDS), alongside a relatively stable volumetric sales base. Units sold remained largely consistent at 14,428,279 GWh in FY25, while TDS recognized amounted to PKR 79,490mln. During 1HFY26, TDS amounted to PKR 42,120mln (PKR 38,893mln in the comparable period). The revenue trajectory reflects the combined effect of periodic tariff revisions and subsidy realizations, which continue to shape the Company's topline performance.


Margins

During 1HFY26, revenue from electricity sales reached PKR 240,938 mln with total cost of electricity of PKR 202,539mln, resulting in a gross profit of PKR 38,398mln and a gross margin of 15.94%. This marks an improvement from 15.0% in FY25 and a significant recovery from 8.4% in FY24, supported by moderating power purchase costs and a more balanced pricing structure. Consequently, net profit margin for 1HFY26 stood at 6.87%, while for FY25, net profit margin improved to 2.0% from 0.2% in FY24. While the cost of electricity is recorded on an actual basis, revenue recognition is subject to periodic timing differences, as tariff revisions and subsidy determinations by NEPRA and the government are often finalized with reference to prior periods. This timing dynamic means that reported margins may not always align with the current period's operational performance. Furthermore, the current return structure remains largely asset-based, with revenue and margins shaped by regulated tariffs under the cost-plus framework and the quantum of TDS recognized, rather than being directly driven by operational efficiency improvements. As a result, period-on-period margin trends are influenced not only by cost dynamics but also by regulatory timing and subsidy realization cycles.


Sustainability

FESCO remains among the better-positioned DISCOs in operational terms, supported by contained distribution losses, strong bill recovery and the strategic importance of its industrial consumer base. Its near-term sustainability will hinge on continuing to hold T&D losses close to NEPRA-allowed levels and recovery ratios near current levels, while its medium-term trajectory remains contingent on the outcome of the privatization process and the pace of the broader transition toward the CTBCM framework, for which the Company's MIRAD unit has been positioned to manage procurement planning, contract administration and regulatory coordination.


Financial Risk
Working capital

FESCO's working capital cycle is shaped primarily by receivables from electricity sales, subsidy receivables from the government, and payables to CPPA-G for power purchases, with minimal inventory requirements beyond maintenance stores. Trade debts declined to Rs 51,681mln as of December 2025, from Rs 69,911mln at FY25 year-end, reflecting continued collection discipline. Trade and other payables fell more sharply, to Rs 57,597mln from Rs 117,892mln at FY25 year-end, a reduction of just over 51%, indicating a marked improvement in the Company's payment position toward CPPA-G during the period. FESCO continues to manage its working capital without recourse to short-term borrowings.


Coverages

In 1HFY26, the Company continued to demonstrate a strong debt coverage profile, supported by healthy Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO). FCFO reached PKR 33,345mln during the six-month period, compared to PKR 35,255mln for the full year FY25. The strong FCFO in 1HFY26 was driven by improved profitability and recognition of Tariff Differential Claims (TDC) related to customer tariff adjustments. EBITDA for 1HFY26 stood at PKR 50,030mln, with the EBITDA-to-Finance Cost coverage ratio improving to 75.0x and FCFO-to-Finance Cost ratio reaching 50.0x, reflecting the Company's capacity to service its debt obligations. The Company also maintains strong liquidity through short-term investments and cash reserves, further enhancing its financial flexibility and ability to meet debt obligations.


Capitalization

FESCO maintains a conservative capitalization profile, characterized by a strong equity base and minimal reliance on external debt. As of December 2025, shareholders' equity improved to PKR 95,436mln, up from PKR 62,970mln at FY25 year-end, primarily reflecting government equity injections and retained earnings. Consequently, the gearing ratio improved to 5.5% from 8.1% during the same period, underscoring the Company's low leverage position. The outstanding debt is limited to a small, concessionary ADB loan relent by the government, totaling PKR 5,541mln, with no short-term borrowings on the balance sheet. Given that this debt is government-backed and the overall capital structure currently benefits from state support, the eventual privatization process may lead to a reconfiguration of the Company's capitalization and financial framework, subject to the final transaction terms and ownership structure.


 
 

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(PKR mln)


Dec-25
6M
Jun-25
12M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 241,811 238,575 231,033 161,841
2. Investments 20,500 20,500 17,500 19,000
3. Related Party Exposure 8,847 13,050 12,547 12,082
4. Current Assets 110,277 138,201 133,981 125,911
a. Inventories 0 0 0 0
b. Trade Receivables 51,681 69,911 76,116 68,480
5. Total Assets 381,435 410,326 395,061 318,834
6. Current Liabilities 66,657 126,729 130,046 122,285
a. Trade Payables 26,632 54,511 90,945 92,469
7. Borrowings 5,541 5,541 5,541 5,541
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 213,800 215,086 210,399 189,476
10. Net Assets 95,436 62,970 49,075 1,532
11. Shareholders' Equity 95,436 62,970 49,075 1,532
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 240,938 472,900 463,489 383,071
a. Cost of Good Sold (202,539) (402,168) (424,588) (360,600)
2. Gross Profit 38,398 70,732 38,901 22,472
a. Operating Expenses (25,563) (56,941) (44,407) (38,989)
3. Operating Profit 12,836 13,791 (5,506) (16,518)
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 8,114 11,928 12,767 9,354
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 20,950 25,718 7,261 (7,163)
a. Total Finance Cost (667) (4,989) (882) (882)
b. Taxation (3,724) (11,296) (5,381) (3,861)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 16,560 9,433 998 (11,907)
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 33,345 35,255 9,194 1,420
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 33,343 35,253 9,192 1,417
c. Changes in Working Capital (28,412) (20,200) (3,582) 1,486
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 4,932 15,053 5,609 2,903
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities (7,496) (36,145) (16,326) (18,934)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities 5,293 9,312 8,054 10,974
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period 2,728 (11,780) (2,663) (5,056)
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 1.9% 2.0% 21.0% 13.4%
b. Gross Profit Margin 15.9% 15.0% 8.4% 5.9%
c. Net Profit Margin 6.9% 2.0% 0.2% -3.1%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 2.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.8%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 41.8% 16.8% 3.9% -184.6%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 46 56 57 72
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 15 0 -15 -19
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 1.7 1.1 1.0 1.0
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 75.0 -53.1 34.6 20.1
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 14.9 19.9 2.5 0.4
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 0.1 0.2 0.7 10.2
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 5.5% 8.1% 10.1% 78.3%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 1390.7 -1428.0 2535.9 2170.9
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 24.1% -22.5% 15.9% 15.9%

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