Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
17-Jul-26 BBB- A3 Stable Maintain -
17-Jul-25 BBB- A3 Stable Initial -
About the Entity

Lumen Energia (Pvt.) Limited, incorporated in 2010, is an unlisted private company headquartered in Islamabad, focusing on biomass-based energy solutions. The Company operates steam production plants in Kabir Wala and Sahiwal, using agricultural waste to generate industrial steam. The Company plays a pioneering role in sustainable energy, aiming to reduce carbon footprints through innovative biomass utilization. The Company's major ownership resides with partners Mr. Arif Alam (49%), Ahmad Naveed Ismail (51%). Mr. Arif Alam, with his sound entrepreneurial skills, serves as the Chief Executive Officer.

Rating Rationale

Lumen Energia (Pvt.) Ltd. (“Lumen” or “the Company”) operates in Pakistan's renewable energy sector, focusing on sustainable industrial steam production through biomass combustion. The assigned ratings reflect the stabilization of its developing operational footprint and expanding revenue base. The ratings are further supported by Lumen’s strategic affiliation with its sister concerns, Axis Environment Services which develops Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and renewable energy projects and Scandic Green Energy (Pvt.) Ltd., a specialized biomass supply and briquetting entity. These affiliations provide substantial technical depth, resource access, and operational synergy.
The Company has successfully transitioned into a multi-facility operation with the commissioning of its second plant, which commenced commercial supply in April 2026. This joins Lumen's first operational facility in Kabir Wala, Punjab. Both plants are identical, each possessing a production capacity of 20 metric tons per hour (TPH) of steam. The projects were executed under a debt-to-equity structure of 75:25, with the long-term debt component secured via a commercial financing facility from Bank Alfalah Limited. On the financial front, the Company experienced consistent, uninterrupted steam offtake throughout the period, which drove the robust expansion in top-line performance. Consequently, revenue reached PKR 309 million during 9MFY26, marking a 54% growth compared to PKR 201 million in 9MFY25 and already surpassing the full-year FY25 revenue of PKR 299 million. Profitability margins remained stable during 9MFY26, with the Company posting a gross margin of 19.8%, an operating margin of 18.6%, and a net margin of 3.9%. Concurrently, overall leveraging improved and stood at 71.8% in 9MFY26 compared to 75.8% in FY25, supported by the timely and regular repayment of its debt obligations. However, debt service coverage ratios remained modest, reflecting the impact of the initial debt burden on the Company’s immediate cash flows. The Company benefits from sponsors possessing extensive experience and a demonstrated track record of successful business ventures.

Key Rating Drivers

The assigned ratings remain contingent upon Lumen’s ability to sustain profit margins and strengthen liquidity buffers. Moving forward, strict adherence to financial discipline and continuous operational efficiencies will be pivotal in supporting and improving the credit profile.

Profile
Legal Structure

Lumen Energia (Pvt.) Limited (the “Company” or “Lumen Energia”) is an unlisted private limited company incorporated in Pakistan in 2010 under the repealed Companies Ordinance, 1984 (now the Companies Act, 2017). The entity operates as a biomass-based steam generation enterprise supplying environmentally sustainable energy solutions to Pakistan’s industrial manufacturing sector under long-term off-take arrangements.


Background

Lumen Energia (Pvt.) Ltd. was initially incorporated with the objective of generating electricity through sustainable, renewable, and environmentally clean sources, primarily utilizing biomass as fuel. In September 2010, the Company received a Letter of Interest from the Alternative Energy Development Board for a 12 MW power plant near Jhang, Punjab. Following approval of the feasibility study and tariff determination by NEPRA, the project was subsequently put on hold due to unforeseen challenges. The Company remained non-operational until Sept24, when it formally commenced commercial activities with a revised business focus on steam production utilizing biomass (agricultural waste) as fuel. The assigned rating is further supported by Lumen’s affiliation with its sister concerns, Axis Environment Services and Scandic Green Energy (Pvt.) Ltd. Axis, in partnership with its German collaborator UPM, has been operating in Pakistan since 2006, focusing on the development of CDM and renewable energy projects. Scandic specializes in biomass supply and established Pakistan’s first biomass briquetting plant in Badin with an annual capacity of 10,000 metric tons.


Operations

Lumen Energia operates as a dedicated provider of sustainable industrial energy solutions in Pakistan, managing a production portfolio centered on two active biomass-based steam generation facilities developed under a build-own-operate framework. The Company’s foundational plant in Kabirwala, Punjab, features a production capacity of 20 metric tons per hour (TPH) and is backed by a ten-year commercial agreement to supply 90,000 metric tons of steam annually to its industrial counterpart. Expanding this operational footprint, the second biomass facility in Sahiwal, Punjab also featuring a 20 TPH capacity, successfully commenced commercial steam generation in April 2026 and is similarly anchored by a long-term industrial off-take commitment of 90,000 metric tons per annum.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

The Company’s ownership resides with two partners Mr. Arif Alam (49%), Mr. Naveed Ismail (51%).


Stability

The Company is wholly owned by the sponsoring members, which has maintained consistent ownership and oversight over time. This concentrated ownership structure is viewed as stable, reflecting long-term commitment, strategic alignment, and continuity in governance and decision-making.


Business Acumen

The sponsoring members collectively bring over two decades of experience in the power sector, having successfully navigated various business and economic cycles, reflected in a robust understanding of industry dynamics, strategic adaptability to shifting domestic and international trade environments, and resilience amid market volatility. This depth is anchored by Mr. Naveed Ismail, who currently serves as Chairman of the Board at the National Transmission and Despatch Company (NTDC) and Gener S.A., and has previously held prominent positions including Board Member at K-Electric Limited and Chief Executive Officer of Genco Holding Company Limited (GHCL). His international leadership roles span President of AES Ekibastuz, Eletropaulo Metropolitana, and Central Puerto S.A., complemented by a B.Sc. (Hons.) in Mechanical Engineering from the N.W.F.P. University of Engineering, a Master of Science in Mechanical Engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), and an MBA from Boston College. Together with Mr. Arif Alam's entrepreneurial track record in biomass and decentralized energy deployment, this combined expertise has enabled the Company to commission its steam operations and secure long-term off-take arrangements with reputable industrial counterparts.


Financial Strength

The Company derives significant financial strength and strategic support from its affiliation with well-established associated companies. This association provides access to shared resources, operational synergies, and financial backing, enhancing the Company’s credit profile, liquidity position, and overall ability to withstand market fluctuations.


Governance
Board Structure

The Company is governed by a two-member Board comprising both executive directors: Mr. Arif Alam, who serves as Chief Executive Officer, and Mr. Naveed Ismail, who holds the position of Executive Director. The Board concentrates strategic oversight within the sponsoring group, consistent with the Company’s closely held ownership.


Members’ Profile

Mr. Arif Alam is a Danish-Pakistani energy entrepreneur with over 30 years of experience in renewable energy, climate initiatives, and international trade. He is the Chief Executive Officer and Founding Partner of several ventures, including Scandic Green Energy and Agrifuel, which specialize in biomass and decentralized energy solutions in Pakistan. He holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics from Copenhagen Business School and is an active member of the FPCCI Alternate Energy Committee. Mr. Naveed Ismail is a seasoned energy sector executive with over three decades of international experience in power generation, transmission, and sector restructuring across Pakistan, Central Asia, South America, and Europe. He currently serves as Chairman of the National Transmission and Despatch Company (NTDC) and Chief Executive Officer of Lumen Energia, where he advises on critical energy reforms and infrastructure development. His previous leadership roles include senior executive positions at K-Electric, Genco Holding Company, AES Corporation, and other prominent global utilities. Mr. Ismail has successfully led the turnaround of large-scale coal and thermal power plants and played a pivotal role in power sector reforms and privatization initiatives in Pakistan. He holds advanced degrees in engineering and finance from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and Boston College.


Board Effectiveness

Board effectiveness at Lumen Energia is currently maintained through a streamlined governance framework appropriate to the Company's closely held ownership and early operational stage. The Board convenes on an annual basis to review financial performance, evaluate operational progress, and steer the Company's strategic initiatives, with proceedings comprehensively documented through formal meeting minutes that support accountability and continuity of decision-making. At present, the Board operates without dedicated sub-committees such as an Audit Committee or a Human Resource & Remuneration (HR&R) Committee. The formalization of such committees, alongside more frequent and structured board engagement, represents a clear opportunity to further strengthen the Company's governance architecture, deepen independent oversight, and reinforce institutional accountability as operations scale.


Financial Transparency

Abdul Khaliq and Co., Chartered Accountants, serves as the external auditor of the Company and is a QCR-rated firm. For the financial year ended June 30, 2026, the auditors issued an unqualified opinion on the Company's financial statements.


Management
Organizational Structure

The organizational structure of Lumen Energia features a streamlined, functional hierarchy led by the Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Arif Alam, who steers the Company's overall business strategy and operational direction. The framework is built around a defined set of core departments Production, Accounts & Finance, Human Resources, and Administration each functioning independently under the leadership of its respective head. All functional heads report directly to the CEO, ensuring centralized oversight, streamlined reporting lines, and operational efficiency commensurate with the Company's current scale of operations.


Management Team

The senior management of Lumen Energia is headed by its Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Arif Alam, a Danish-Pakistani energy-sector entrepreneur with more than three decades of experience in renewable energy and climate-related ventures. Drawing on this deep expertise, he has played a central role in developing a range of Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) initiatives, predominantly centered on renewable energy. Identifying a significant market gap stemming from Pakistan's persistent energy shortfall notably the natural gas constraints in Punjab Mr. Alam has directed his efforts toward providing end-to-end energy solutions to reputable industrial counterparts. He is the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Scandic Green Energy (Private) Limited, Agrifuel, and Axis Environment Services, which concentrate on rolling out biomass-based energy infrastructure under Build-Own-Operate (BOO) models, chiefly for industrial steam generation. These projects are purposefully sited in the rural districts of Punjab, which are abundant in agricultural biomass; owing to the seasonal availability of these feedstocks, purpose-built storage facilities were established, culminating in the launch of Pakistan's first biomass pellet plant. Scandic Green Energy went on to pioneer biomass briquetting in the country, setting up Pakistan's first biomass briquette facility in Badin with a yearly output capacity of 10,000 metric tons, and subsequently broadened its operations into steam supply, catering to reputable industrial counterparts in Sahiwal. Axis Environment Services, in partnership with German collaborator UPM, has operated in Pakistan since 2006 with an emphasis on CDM development and renewable energy deployment. Mr. Alam is backed by a capable and seasoned management team that is integral to the execution and running of the Company's projects.


Effectiveness

Management effectiveness at Lumen Energia is driven by a hands-on and proactive oversight framework anchored by regular performance review meetings. While no formal management committees have yet been constituted, the management team convenes on a monthly basis to monitor operational, strategic, and financial performance, facilitate early identification of emerging risks, and ensure the timely implementation of corrective measures. This disciplined approach supports operational agility, minimizes structural bottlenecks, and reinforces the efficiency and effectiveness of the Company's activities.


MIS

Lumen Energia maintains a customized Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system that serves as the backbone of its management information framework. Management Information System reports are generated and reviewed on a regular basis by the management team, ensuring real-time operational visibility, automated internal controls, and data-driven decision-making across the Company's functions.


Control Environment

Lumen Energia’s control environment relies primarily on an outsourced internal audit function that operates under the direct supervision of the directors. While this outsourced arrangement is intended to assist with internal control mechanisms and basic risk reporting, the overall corporate governance framework remains closely held at the board level. The current mechanism for identifying, assessing, and reporting risks from daily business operations is primarily managed through this centralized structure, presenting opportunities for further institutionalization as the company's operational scale expands.


Business Risk
Industry Dynamics

Pakistan's power sector showed early stabilization in FY25 despite persistent structural strains. Installed capacity fell 10.4% to 41,121 MW as inefficient plants were retired, yet utilization stayed low (37.5% capacity factor). T&D losses eased to 17.6% and recoveries improved to 96.6%, helping circular debt drop 33% to PKR 1.6 trillion (though it edged back up to ~PKR 1,693 billion by September 2025). Tariffs remain high, pushing industries toward captive generation, while the energy mix continues shifting from thermal (49% of generation) toward hydel and renewables, with a 60% clean-energy target by CY30. Backed by an IMF-supported Circular Debt Management Plan, IPP PPA renegotiations, and planned DISCO privatizations, reform momentum is building but low utilization, a heavy capacity-payment overhang, and weak DISCO governance keep tariff discipline and grid planning critical to long-term sustainability.


Relative Position

As an emerging participant in Pakistan's renewable and industrial energy landscape, Lumen Energia occupies a specialized niche in the supply of biomass-based industrial steam rather than competing in conventional grid-scale power generation. The Company's positioning is anchored by long-term off-take arrangements with creditworthy industrial counterparts.


Revenues

Lumen Energia has demonstrated strong top-line momentum as its operations have matured, generating PKR 309 million in revenue during 9MFY26. This marks a 54% increase compared to PKR 201 million in 9MFY25, driven by a complete operating cycle of steam off-take. Currently, revenue is derived entirely from a single operational plant under a long-term agreement to supply 90,000 metric tons of steam annually. Top-line stability and future growth are well-supported by the company's two-plant operational framework, with the second facility also structured around a long-term off-take arrangement of 90,000 metric tons annually, which is projected to bring total combined revenue to approximately PKR 700 million at full capacity.


Margins

This expanding revenue base directly influences the company's margin profile, shifting the balance between fixed operational scale and debt-servicing costs. At the core level, the growing revenue volume supports stable gross and operating margins recorded at 19.8% and 18.6% respectively in 9MFY26 by efficiently absorbing the fixed overheads of the biomass-based operations. However, because this revenue growth is built upon a heavily leveraged, project-financed asset base, net profit margins remain sensitive to financing costs. As top-line revenue scaled up to PKR 309 million in 9MFY26, the relative burden of these fixed financial charges decreased relative to total sales, allowing the net profit margin to improve to 3.9% from 2.5% in FY25.


Sustainability

The sponsors are focused on securing the long-term sustainability of the business, anchored by its two operational plants that benefit from long-term, guaranteed off-take agreements. This established structure ensures highly predictable cash flows, mitigates demand risk, and provides a stable revenue foundation.


Financial Risk
Working capital

Lumen Energia’s working capital cycle is driven by a contractual obligation to maintain a biomass inventory buffer of approximately 40–45 days, amounting to PKR 40 million. This requirement is funded through internal cash generation, eliminating the need for short-term external financing to date and indicating steady liquidity management. In terms of efficiency metrics, inventory days decreased from 49 days in FY25 to 37 days in 9MFY26. Receivable days remained low, moving from 25 days in FY25 to 20 days in 9MFY26, reflecting consistent collection timelines. With trade payable days at 4 days in FY25 and 10 days in 9MFY26, the overall net working capital cycle shortened from 21 days in FY25 to 10 days in 9MFY26, demonstrating organized working capital management.


Coverages

The company maintained a stable yet tight interest coverage ratio, hovering between 2.0x and 2.1x across FY25, and 9MFY26, indicating a modest buffer in earnings relative to interest obligations. Concurrently, the debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) factoring in both interest and principal repayments remained constrained at 1.0x in FY25 before softening to 0.8x in 9MFY26, signaling that operating cash flows are heavily stretched to meet comprehensive debt amortization schedules.


Capitalization

Lumen Energia maintains a highly leveraged capital structure, which is characteristic of its strategic reliance on structured project financing. The leverage ratio eased to 71.8% in 9MFY26 from 74.7% in 6MFY26, demonstrating a downward trajectory from 75.8% in FY25. This trend reflects a prudent approach to debt management and a consistent, regular repayment track record. Total borrowings decreased to PKR 741 million in 9MFY26 (FY25: PKR 775 million), secured under a term finance agreement with Bank Alfalah Limited. Despite the leveraged profile, the capital structure remains resilient, backed by a steadily expanding equity base which grew to PKR 317 million in 9MFY26 (FY25: PKR 263 million), thereby enhancing the company's long-term financial solvency and debt-servicing capacity.


 
 

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(PKR mln)


Mar-26
9M
Jun-25
12M
Jun-24
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 1,085 999 503
2. Investments 0 0 0
3. Related Party Exposure 5 0 0
4. Current Assets 109 130 106
a. Inventories 45 38 43
b. Trade Receivables 25 21 0
5. Total Assets 1,200 1,129 609
6. Current Liabilities 71 41 77
a. Trade Payables 20 3 3
7. Borrowings 741 775 383
8. Related Party Exposure 68 49 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 1 0 0
10. Net Assets 318 263 149
11. Shareholders' Equity 318 263 149
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 309 299 0
a. Cost of Good Sold (248) (232) (4)
2. Gross Profit 61 66 (4)
a. Operating Expenses (4) (2) (1)
3. Operating Profit 57 65 (4)
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 1 (1) 0
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 58 64 (4)
a. Total Finance Cost (41) (53) 0
b. Taxation (5) (4) 0
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 12 7 (4)
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 82 113 (4)
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 38 65 (4)
c. Changes in Working Capital 43 7 (11)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 81 72 (14)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities (129) (548) (506)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities 8 500 535
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period (39) 24 14
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 38.1% #DIV/0! N/A
b. Gross Profit Margin 19.8% 22.2% N/A
c. Net Profit Margin 3.9% 2.5% N/A
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 40.6% 40.1% N/A
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 5.6% 3.6% N/A
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) N/A N/A N/A
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 10 21 N/A
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 1.5 3.2 1.4
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 2.6 2.2 N/A
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 0.8 1.0 -0.1
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 14.0 13.7 -106.4
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 71.8% 75.8% 72.0%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 171.9 194.7 N/A
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 6.5% 8.2% 0.0%

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