Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
02-Oct-25 AAA - Stable Maintain -
About the Instrument

WAPDA has consolidated five sukuks to single, unified instrument under the title "WAPDA - Dasu Consolidated Sukuk" ("Sukuk") of PKR 52.8bln in May'25 to finance the Dasu project. The Project, launched in 2017 on the Indus River in Kohistan, KP, is set to be Pakistan’s second-largest with a total capacity of 4,320 MW (2,160 MW in Stage-I). Expected to complete by May'27, it will generate about 21,485 GWh annually, with Stage-I involving a hydraulic structure and underground power facilities. The outstanding principal amount of PKR 42.4bln of Consolidated Sukuk will be paid in fifteen equal semi annual installments of PKR 2.8bln each commencing from May'25. As of May'25, a total rental/profit amounting of PKR 27.7bln and total principal amounting PKR 13bln has been paid by WAPDA.

Rating Rationale

The Water and Power Development Authority ("WAPDA") issued five sukuks in series A–E, cumulatively amounting to PKR 52.8bln. These sukuks were floated at different intervals, beginning in May 2017 and ending in May 2024. Each of these instruments had been accorded the highest credit rating of “AAA” by PACRA. The sukuk issuances were primarily undertaken to partially finance stage-1 of the Dasu Hydropower Project ("Project"). To streamline its debt profile and reduce administrative complexities, WAPDA consolidated all five outstanding sukuks into a single, unified instrument. This new instrument was titled the “WAPDA - Dasu Consolidated Sukuk - PKR 52.8bln,” effective from May 06, 2025. Following the consolidation, all stipulations and obligations of the sukuks remained wholly preserved, retaining their validity and enforceability in accordance with prior terms. Furthermore, the rights and obligations of all contractual parties were preserved in their entirety, with no alteration arising as a result of the consolidation. The rating of the consolidated Sukuk shall remain aligned with the ratings previously assigned to the five individual sukuks. The assigned rating of the consolidated Sukuk reflects the unconditional and irrevocable GoP guarantee, covering both principal and profit, with payments made immediately upon demand. To support timely servicing, WAPDA maintains a DPA under lien with the Investment Agent. During each month, WAPDA deposits an amount equivalent to 1/6th of the upcoming installment into the DPA, so that the aggregate amount available in the DPA on the upcoming Installment date is equal to the relevant upcoming Installment. The cost of this Project stood at PKR 1.74trln in May’25, a 258% increase from the original PKR 486bln approved in 2014. Key factors for this significant cost escalation include difficulties in land acquisition, inflationary price escalations, and security-related costs. The development portfolio is largely financed through GoP grants, re-lending, and loans, highlighting strong sovereign support. Moreover, WAPDA benefits from a favorable tariff framework that ensures cost recovery and reasonable returns, strengthening its financial profile and capacity to deliver major infrastructure projects. The Project is financed through a mix of WAPDA internally generated cash and borrowings i) Long-term (local & foreign) ii) Bonds Issuance (Islamic & Conventional). As of FY25, the Project has achieved ~26.8% physical progress and 23.7% financial progress. During 6MFY25, WAPDA reported PKR 57bln in revenue and PKR 23bln in profit. (SPLY: PKR 38bln in revenue and PKR 17bln in profit).

Key Rating Drivers

Given its crucial role and the Govt.’s strong support and direct oversight, full ownership and control are expected to remain with the Govt. in the coming years.

Issuer Profile
Profile

The Pakistan Water and Power Development Authority ("WAPDA") redefined its Power wing to focus on hydropower generation and the operation and maintenance of powerhouses after its unbundling in 2007. Its mandate now centers on the efficient development of water and hydropower resources and stands as the Nation’s largest hydel energy producer. During 9MFY25, installed capacity rose by ~11.0%, reaching ~46,605 MW (SPLY: ~42,131 MW). Within this overall capacity, WAPDA holds a significant share of 20%, contributing an installed capacity of 9,459MW. WAPDA operates under two key business segments: hydropower generation and water resource development, including dams, reservoirs, irrigation, and navigation locks. It constructs, operates, and maintains hydropower assets for affordable, clean electricity and develops water storage facilities to address Pakistan's water challenges. Projects underway aim to add around 8,990 MW by 2029.


Ownership

WAPDA is an autonomous and statutory body, 100% owned by the Government of Pakistan ("GoP" or the "Government") and established under the 1958 WAPDA Act. WAPDA holds high strategic importance as Pakistan's sole platform for developing water and hydropower resources. Given its crucial role and the Government’s strong support and direct oversight, full ownership and control are expected to remain with the Government in the coming years.


Governance

The WAPDA's Chairman and department heads for power, water and finance segments are directly appointed by the Government of Pakistan. WAPDA operates under the administrative control of the Federal Government, which exercises close oversight over its budget, accounts, powers, duties, and projects. Most of WAPDA’s projects are funded by the Government through grants, re-lending, and loans, along with a favorable tariff scheme that covers operating costs and ensures a reasonable return on investment. Lt. General (Retd.) Muhammad Saeed, the Chairman of WAPDA, is a retired army professional and a diplomat who brings the experience of 4 decades with him to the management of the WAPDA. 


Management

WAPDA's management structure is divided into three wings i) Water ii) Power and iii) Finance Wing. The Water Wing Member controls the wing through its divisions including North, Central, South and Northern Areas in addition to project specific zones including Mangla, Neelum Jhelum, Mohmand Dam, Diamer Basha Dam, and Dasu Hydropower Projects. The financial affairs of this wing are looked after by GM Finance (Water). Apart from project offices, there are other offices which provide various technical services to different projects. WAPDA Power Wing is responsible for operation and maintenance of the Hydel Power Stations under generation license granted by NEPRA in the name of General Manager (Hydel) Operation after the de-bundling of WAPDA into various companies. All the financial matters of Power Wing are managed by General Manager (Finance) Power under the control of Member Power. The Finance Wing oversees the financing functions of WAPDA and member finance is the administrative head of WAPDA Audit, Accounts, Finance, and cost centers. The General Manager oversees overall administration and services.


Business Risk

 By the end of 9MFY25, Pakistan generated 90,145 GWh of electricity. The generation mix comprised 46.3% from fossil fuels (coal, RLNG, and oil), 30.4% from hydropower, 19.1% from nuclear, and 4.2% from renewable sources such as wind, solar, and bagasse. This indicates a gradual transition toward a cleaner energy portfolio, supported by the growing adoption of solar and net-metered distributed systems, though their overall contribution remains limited. Despite diversification efforts, the power sector continues to face structural challenges, including transmission constraints, underutilization of relatively cost-effective renewable capacity, and mounting financial pressures from capacity payments and increasing power purchase costs. Investments in transmission and distribution infrastructure, coupled with an accelerated expansion of renewable generation, are essential to ensure long-term energy reliability, affordability, and sustainability in meeting Pakistan’s rising demand. On the consumption side, the household sector remained the largest consumer, accounting for 49.6% of total electricity usage, followed by the industrial sector at 26.3%. The commercial sector consumed 8.6%, the agriculture sector 5.75%, with the balance utilized by other categories, including public lighting. Going forward, WAPDA aims to add approximately 8,990MW of hydropower capacity by 2029, positioning low-cost renewable electricity as a competitive challenge for thermal plants. With a current generation capacity of 9,459 MW, WAPDA has major projects underway, including Mohmand Dam, Tarbela 5th Extension, Dasu Hydropower Project and Diamer Basha Dam. These projects are set for completion in 2025, 2026, 2027 and 2029 respectively. This expansion will enhance Pakistan’s renewable energy contribution, improving the overall energy mix and strengthening power supply reliability. These projects will be playing a crucial role in meeting the Country’s growing electricity demand and supporting sustainable economic growth. During 6MFY25, WAPDA reported approximately PKR 57bln in revenue and PKR 23bln in profit. (SPLY: PKR 38bln in revenue and PKR 17bln in profit).


Financial Risk

As of 6MFY25, WAPDA remains highly leveraged, with a leverage ratio of 69.8% (FY24: 70.3%). Its total debt rose to PKR 737bln, up from PKR 701bln in FY24, primarily to finance hydroelectric projects. The long-term financing structure comprises a blend of foreign and local loans, sourced through government-backed, secured, and unsecured instruments. Key foreign borrowings include relent loans from the Government of Pakistan (IDA-backed), secured direct loans, and Eurobonds. WAPDA’s cash flows are largely reliant on payments from CPPA-G, while its liquidity position is supported by government grants, loans, and robust access to capital markets, underpinned by its government ownership and strategic importance in Pakistan’s power sector.


Instrument Rating Considerations
About the Instrument

The Water and Power Development Authority ("WAPDA") issued five sukuks in series A–E, cumulatively amounting to PKR 52.8bln. These sukuks were floated at different intervals, beginning in May 2017 and ending in May 2024. Each of these instruments had been accorded the highest credit rating of “AAA” by PACRA. The sukuk issuances were primarily undertaken to partially finance stage-1 of the Dasu Hydropower Project ("Project") which includes the construction of a hydraulic structure on the Indus river and underground power generation facilities. To streamline its debt profile and reduce administrative complexities, WAPDA consolidated all five outstanding sukuks into a single, unified instrument. This new instrument was titled the “WAPDA - Dasu Consolidated Sukuk - PKR 52.8bln,” effective from May 06, 2025. Following the consolidation, all stipulations and obligations of the sukuks remained wholly preserved, retaining their validity and enforceability in accordance with prior terms. Furthermore, the rights and obligations of all contractual parties were preserved in their entirety, with no alteration arising as a result of the consolidation. The rating of the consolidated Sukuk shall remain aligned with the ratings previously assigned to the five individual sukuks. The outstanding principal amount of PKR 42.4bln of Consolidated Sukuk will be paid in fifteen equal semi annual installments of PKR 2.8bln each commencing from May'25. As of May'25, a total rental/profit amounting of PKR 27.7bln and total principal amounting PKR 13bln has been paid by WAPDA. The cost of Dasu Hydropower Project stood at PKR 1.74trln in May’25, a 258% increase from the original PKR 486bln approved in 2014. Key factors for this significant cost escalation include delay in project implementation, primarily due to difficulties in land acquisition, inflationary price escalations, and security-related costs. The total financing package for this Project is PKR 144bln and comprises of distinct conventional and Islamic finance facilities classified as i) Facilities secured by an irrevocable, sovereign guarantee issued by the Government of Pakistan without SLR eligibility amounting to PKR 88bln and ii) Facilities secured by WAPDA's assets amounting to PKR 56bln. The profit of this Sukuk is being paid semi-annually in arrears at the rate of 6M Kibor+1.45% p.a calculated on a 365 days basis (or 366 days in case of leap year) on the outstanding principal amount. There is also a call option attached to the Sukuk exercisable only after the expiry of the availability Period on installment payment dates, subject to a 30 day prior written irrevocable notice to the Investment agent. A prepayment price equivalent to 0.20% will be applicable to the amount being prepaid. As of FY25, the physical progess of the project stands at 26.8% and financial progress stands at 23.72%.


Relative Seniority/Subordination of Instrument

The claims of the Sukuk holders will rank superior to the claims of other stakeholders.


Credit Enhancement

The Sukuk facility is covered through the GoP Guaranteed Backed Facilities i.e. Unconditional and irrevocable First Demand Guarantee covering principal and profit amount and any other amounts becoming due for payment in respect of the facilities from the Ministry of Finance, Government of Pakistan without SLR eligibility. WAPDA also maintains a Debt Payment Account with the Investment Agent which is held under exclusive lien in favor of the Issue Agent. During each month WAPDA shall deposit equivalent to the 1/6th of the instalment amount into the Debt Payment Account (not later than the 15th day of each month of the instalment period) so that the aggregate amount available in the Debt Payment Account on the upcoming instalment date is equal to the relevant instalment amount.


 
 

Oct-25

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Dec-24
6M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
Jun-22
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 1,159 1,070 893 719
2. Investments 21 21 21 0
3. Related Party Exposure 120 0 0 0
4. Current Assets 356 489 516 482
a. Inventories 0 0 0 0
b. Trade Receivables 144 138 290 275
5. Total Assets 1,656 1,580 1,430 1,201
6. Current Liabilities 36 31 31 26
a. Trade Payables 24 16 17 19
7. Borrowings 737 701 718 577
8. Related Party Exposure 148 154 128 98
9. Non-Current Liabilities 417 397 302 252
10. Net Assets 319 296 250 249
11. Shareholders' Equity 319 296 250 249
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 57 73 75 99
a. Cost of Good Sold (22) (35) (29) (27)
2. Gross Profit 35 38 46 72
a. Operating Expenses (2) (3) (3) (2)
3. Operating Profit 33 35 43 70
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 25 109 13 (0)
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 59 144 57 70
a. Total Finance Cost (35) (66) (49) (50)
b. Taxation 0 0 0 0
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 23 78 8 19
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 23 (7) 14 86
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 23 59 63 86
c. Changes in Working Capital 0 177 13 (27)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 23 236 75 60
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities 0 (115) (95) (75)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities 0 (74) 27 27
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period 23 47 8 12
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 54.8% -2.2% -24.2% 47.8%
b. Gross Profit Margin 61.3% 52.0% 61.3% 73.0%
c. Net Profit Margin 41.4% 106.0% 10.1% 19.7%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 41.4% 232.6% 35.2% 60.8%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 15.3% 28.4% 3.0% 8.1%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 453 1068 1379 957
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 389 984 1289 892
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 9.9 15.8 16.8 18.9
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 0.7 -0.2 0.3 2.1
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 0.1 -0.0 0.0 0.3
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) -32.0 -8.8 -16.3 9.6
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 69.8% 70.3% 74.2% 69.9%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 16.1 42.2 34.8 28.3
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 9.4% 8.9% 7.3% 8.2%

Oct-25

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Nature of Instrument Size of Issue (PKR mln) Tenor Security Issue Agent Book Value of Security Assets (PKR mln)
WAPDA Dasu Consolidated Sukuk 52,800 mln 15 years 1. Un-conditional & irrevocable first demand guarantee covering principal and profit from the Ministry of Finance, GoP. 2. Exclusive lien over debt payment account for the benefit of investors. Pak Brunei Investment Company -
Name of Issuer Water and Power Development Authority
Issue Date 8-May-17
Maturity 8-May-32
Call Option Prepayment price equivalent to 0.20% to the amount being prepaid exercisable only after the expiry of the availability period
Profit Rate 6MK+1.45%

WAPDA - Dasu Consolidated Sukuk - PKR 52.8bln

Sr. Due Date Principal Opening Principal Markup/Profit Rate (6M + 1.45%) Markup/Profit Payment Principal Payment Total Principal Outstanding
PKR (mln) PKR (mln)
Total paid till 8-Nov-24 45,266 - 24,646 10,363 35,009 42,437
1 8-May-25 42,437 14.73% 3,100 2,829 5,929 39,608
2 8-Nov-25 39,608 12.87% 2,556 2,829 5,385 36,779
3 8-May-26 36,779 12.87% 2,347 2,829 5,176 33,950
4 8-Nov-26 33,950 12.87% 2,203 2,829 5,032 31,121
5 8-May-27 31,121 12.87% 1,986 2,829 4,815 28,292
6 8-Nov-27 28,292 12.87% 1,836 2,829 4,665 25,463
7 8-May-28 25,463 12.87% 1,634 2,829 4,463 22,634
8 8-Nov-28 22,634 12.87% 1,468 2,829 4,297 19,805
9 8-May-29 19,805 12.87% 1,264 2,829 4,093 16,976
10 8-Nov-29 16,976 12.87% 1,101 2,829 3,930 14,147
11 8-May-30 14,147 12.87% 903 2,829 3,732 11,318
12 8-Nov-30 11,318 12.87% 734 2,829 3,563 8,489
13 8-May-31 8,489 12.87% 542 2,829 3,371 5,660
14 8-Nov-31 5,660 12.87% 367 2,829 3,196 2,829
15 8-May-32 2,829 12.87% 182 2,829 3,011 -
46,869 52,800 99,667

Oct-25

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