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The Pakistan Credit Rating Agency Limited
Press Release

Date
02-Oct-25

Analyst
Noor Fatima
noor.fatima@pacra.com
+92-42-35869504
www.pacra.com

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This press release is being transmitted for the sole purpose of dissemination through print/electronic media. The press release may be used in full or in part without changing the meaning or context thereof with due credit to PACRA

PACRA Maintains the rating of WAPDA - Dasu Consolidated TFC - PKR 35.2bln

Rating Type Debt Instrument
Current
(02-Oct-25 )
Action Maintain
Long Term AAA
Short Term -
Outlook Stable
Rating Watch -

The Water and Power Development Authority ("WAPDA") issued five TFCs in series A–E, cumulatively amounting to PKR 35.2bln. These TFCs were floated at different intervals, beginning in May 2017 and ending in May 2024. Each of these instruments had been accorded the highest credit rating of “AAA” by PACRA. The TFC issuances were primarily undertaken to partially finance stage-1 of the Dasu Hydropower Project ("Project"). To streamline its debt profile and reduce administrative complexities, WAPDA consolidated all five outstanding TFCs into a single, unified instrument. This new instrument was titled the “WAPDA - Dasu Consolidated TFC - PKR 35.2bln,” effective from May 06, 2025. Following the consolidation, all stipulations and obligations of the TFCs remained wholly preserved, retaining their validity and enforceability in accordance with prior terms. Furthermore, the rights and obligations of all contractual parties were preserved in their entirety, with no alteration arising as a result of the consolidation. The rating of the consolidated TFC shall remain aligned with the ratings previously assigned to the five individual TFCs. The assigned rating of the consolidated TFC reflects the unconditional and irrevocable GoP guarantee, covering both principal and profit, with payments made immediately upon demand. To support timely servicing, WAPDA maintains a DPA under lien with the Investment Agent. During each month, WAPDA deposits an amount equivalent to 1/6th of the upcoming installment into the DPA, so that the aggregate amount available in the DPA on the upcoming Installment date is equal to the relevant upcoming Installment. The cost of this Project stood at PKR 1.74trln in May’25, a 258% increase from the original PKR 486bln approved in 2014. Key factors for this significant cost escalation include difficulties in land acquisition, inflationary price escalations, and security-related costs. The development portfolio is largely financed through GoP grants, re-lending, and loans, highlighting strong sovereign support. Moreover, WAPDA benefits from a favorable tariff framework that ensures cost recovery and reasonable returns, strengthening its financial profile and capacity to deliver major infrastructure projects. The Project is financed through a mix of WAPDA internally generated cash and borrowings i) Long-term (local & foreign) ii) Bonds Issuance (Islamic & Conventional). As of FY25, the Project has achieved ~26.8% physical progress and 23.7% financial progress. During 6MFY25, WAPDA reported PKR 57bln in revenue and PKR 23bln in profit. (SPLY: PKR 38bln in revenue and PKR 17bln in profit).
Given its crucial role and the Government’s strong support and direct oversight, full ownership and control are expected to remain with the Govt. in the coming years.

About the Entity
WAPDA, an autonomous body, was established by the WAPDA Act of 1958 to develop and maintain Pakistan's water and power resources. The total generation capacity of WAPDA is 9459MW.

About the Instrument
WAPDA has consolidated five TFCs to single, unified instrument under the title "WAPDA - Dasu Consolidated TFC" ("TFC") of PKR 35.2bln in May'25 to finance the Dasu project. The Dasu Hydropower Project, launched in 2017 on the Indus River in Kohistan, KP, is set to be Pakistan’s second-largest with a total capacity of 4,320 MW (2,160 MW in Stage-I). Expected to complete by May'27, it will generate about 21,485 GWh annually, with stage-I involving a hydraulic structure and underground power facilities. The outstanding principal amount of PKR 28.3bln of Consolidated TFC will be paid in fifteen equal semi annual installments of PKR 1.9bln each, commencing from May'25. As of May'25, a total profit amounting of PKR 8.8bln and principal amounting PKR 18.5bln has been paid by WAPDA.

The primary function of PACRA is to evaluate the capacity and willingness of an entity to honor its obligations. Our ratings reflect an independent, professional and impartial assessment of the risks associated with a particular instrument or an entity. PACRA's comprehensive offerings include instrument and entity credit ratings, insurer financial strength ratings, fund ratings, asset manager ratings and real estate gradings. PACRA opinion is not a recommendation to purchase, sell or hold a security, in as much as it does not comment on the security's market price or suitability for a particular investor.