logo
The Pakistan Credit Rating Agency Limited
Press Release

Date
23-Oct-25

Analyst
Anam Waqas Ghayour
anam.waqas@pacra.com
+92-42-35869504
www.pacra.com

Applicable Criteria

Related Research

Disclaimer
This press release is being transmitted for the sole purpose of dissemination through print/electronic media. The press release may be used in full or in part without changing the meaning or context thereof with due credit to PACRA

PACRA Maintains Entity Ratings of ThalNova Power Thar (Pvt) Limited

Rating Type Entity
Current
(23-Oct-25 )
Previous
(25-Oct-24 )
Action Maintain Maintain
Long Term AA- AA-
Short Term A1 A1
Outlook Stable Stable
Rating Watch - -

ThalNova Power Thar (Pvt.) Limited (TNPTL or “the Company”) operates a 330MW mine-mouth lignite-fired power plant at Block II, Thar Coalfield, District Tharparkar, Sindh, forming part of energy projects under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). As of FY25, Pakistan’s power sector generated 127,160 GWh - 6% below the reference target, despite an installed capacity of 45,888 MW. Hydropower and nuclear led the mix with 31.4% and 17.7%, respectively, while local coal contributed a solid 12.2%, underscoring its growing role in ensuring stable base-load generation. Indigenous Thar coal has emerged as a key pillar of energy security, offering cost-effective and reliable power compared to imported fuels. Although imported coal generation rose and comprised of 7.1% of the energy generation due to competitive dispatch, the strategic shift toward local coal is expected to reduce foreign exchange pressures, enhance supply security, and enhance the country’s energy independence in the years ahead. TNPTL has signed a Fuel Supply Agreement with Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company for the annual procurement of around 1.9MT of lignite coal. The arrangement ensures fuel cost stability and entails minimal resource risk throughout the project’s life, supported by a back-to-back Liquidated Damages (LD) mechanism. The plant benefits from priority dispatch on ISMO’s merit order list due to its low-cost generation profile. For the July–September 2025 quarter, TNPTL’s generation tariff comprised a capacity charge of PKR 11.7554/kWh and an energy purchase price of PKR 1.0420/kWh. Leveraging its dispatch priority, the plant generated 1,768 GWh in FY25 (FY24: 1,971 GWh) at a load factor of 67.0% (FY24: 75.0%), while maintaining strong operational performance benchmarks.
Financially, Receivables from CPPA-G stood at PKR 16,218mln in FY25 (FY24: PKR 16,610mln), continuing to strain liquidity and leading the Net working days to stand at 18 days as of FY25. However, TNPTL has repaid ~15% of its project debt to date, reducing the Company’s leverage to 62.8% in FY25 from 69.8% in FY24. In addition, the Company is also disputing USD 31mln HVDC charges linked to COD delays; management, backed by legal counsel, expects no financial liability. A standby letter of credit (SBLC) of up to USD 20mln has been arranged for the benefit of lenders to cover potential cost overruns, financing needs, or funding shortfalls, as per the Sponsor Support Agreement dated July 22, 2019. The SBLC will remain valid until July 2034 or full repayment of the project debt.
Following the ESG practices according to the HUBCO’s report, environmental standards are taken care of at TNPTL where all ash yards are lined with geo-membranes to prevent leaching. Further, in reference to HUBCO’s report they are actively pursuing fly ash reuse in cement, roadworks, and recycling partnerships, which are expected to reduce waste management costs.
The ratings reflect TNPTL’s strong operational performance, demonstrated by its consistent achievement of efficiency and availability benchmarks that support its favorable merit order position. Timely repayment of project debt and effective cash flow management remain essential for maintaining credit strength. However, sector-wide challenges persist, and there has been no update regarding the Company’s tariff structure. Any future regulatory changes or measures introduced under the ongoing power sector reforms by the Task Force may affect the Company’s ratings.

About the Entity
Incorporated on April 18, 2016 under the repealed Companies Ordinance, 1984, TNPTL is a 330MW mine-mouth lignite-fired IPP located at Thar Block II, Sindh. HUBCO holds 38.3% ownership and management control through Hub Power Holdings Limited (HPHL), while the remaining shareholding is split among Thal Power (26.0%), Nova Powergen (24.7%), CMEC ThalNova Power Investments (10.0%), and Descon Engineering (1.0%). The plant achieved COD on February 17, 2023, operates under long-term Power Purchase and Coal Supply Agreements. Mr. Amjad Ali Raja, appointed CEO in July 2024, has over 22 years of sector experience and reports to a Board of directors.

The primary function of PACRA is to evaluate the capacity and willingness of an entity to honor its obligations. Our ratings reflect an independent, professional and impartial assessment of the risks associated with a particular instrument or an entity. PACRA's comprehensive offerings include instrument and entity credit ratings, insurer financial strength ratings, fund ratings, asset manager ratings and real estate gradings. PACRA opinion is not a recommendation to purchase, sell or hold a security, in as much as it does not comment on the security's market price or suitability for a particular investor.