Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
20-Dec-24 AA A1+ Stable Maintain -
22-Dec-23 AA A1+ Stable Maintain -
23-Dec-22 AA A1+ Stable Maintain -
24-Dec-21 AA A1+ Stable Maintain -
24-Dec-20 AA A1+ Stable Maintain -
About the Entity

PNSC, majority (89.13%) owned by the Government of Pakistan (GoP) through Ministry of Maritime Affairs, functions as a holding company with 19 wholly owned subsidiaries and an associate. PNSC group, operating on a one-ship one-company model. PNSC’s revenue emanates from two sources both from owned and charter vessels; liquid cargo and dry bulk. Dry bulk can further be subdivided into slot charter and bulk cargo. A small proportion of revenue comes from rental income too. Major customer of PNSC are the Oil refineries of the country. Over the years, the contribution from liquid cargo has increased and constitutes the largest share, followed by slot charter and bulk cargo. Mr. Sultan A.Chawla is the Chairman of the board.

Rating Rationale

The ratings reflect Pakistan National Shipping Corporation's (“PNSC”, “the Corporation”) strong ownership and its strategic significance as the country's national flag carrier. The Corporation operates under a "One Vessel, One Company" model and currently manages a fleet of 12 vessels with a combined carrying capacity of 938,876 tons, serving a variety of global trade routes. The average age of the fleet is 18 years. PNSC is actively working on fleet modernization to align with IMO regulations. The focus of the vessel acquisition strategy will be on acquiring new ships built to specifications that meet PNSC's trade needs, though the possibility of purchasing secondhand vessels will also be considered to take advantage of market opportunities. The shipping industry is experiencing strong performance, with the Clark Sea Index averaging $24,000/day in Q1, 35% above the 10-year trend, continuing the positive momentum from 2023. Seaborne trade volumes rose by 3% in 2023 to 12.4 billion tons, with a projected 2% increase to 12.6 billion tons in 2024. Container markets saw a boost from Red Sea rerouting, doubling spot freight rates and increasing charter rates by 37% since December. Bulk carriers are off to a strong start with steady cargo volumes and limited new build orders. Fleet growth is projected at ~3%, reaching 2.5 billion dwt in 2024. PNSC transported around 9.94 million tons of cargo in FY24, down from 10.83 million tons in FY23. This includes both liquid and dry cargo, with liquid cargo accounting for a larger portion at 8.647 million tons in FY24, compared to 9.26 million tons in FY23. The Corporation revenue clocked at PKR: 10,839mln in 1QFY25 (1QFY24 PKR: 13,296) and PKR: 46,363mln for FY24 (FY23, PKR: 54,597mln). This decline was driven by various factors including lower exchange rates and a correction in AFRA rates, which had previously surged due to exceptional market conditions influenced by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The Corporation exudes a veritable financial structure with a high of amount of cash lying on the balance sheet; working capital is effectively managed through internal cash generation. However, the planned acquisition of new vessels will require significant capital investment, leading to higher gearing and impacting its strong financial metrics over time.

Key Rating Drivers

The ratings are constrained by intense competition in both the dry and wet markets, excess capacity, subdued freight rates, and significant regulatory changes in the shipping industry, particularly the shift toward cleaner fuels. However, comfort is derived from the enactment of the State-Owned Enterprise (Governance and Operations) Act, 2023 (SOE Act), as well as the issuance of the State-Owned Enterprise (Operation & Management) Policy (SOE Policy) in November 2023. According to section 9(a) of Chapter 3 of the SOE Policy, the Corporation has been classified as a Strategic SOE by the Cabinet Committee on State-Owned Enterprises. The ratings depend on the Corporation's ability to generate sustainable cash flows following its expansion. In the meantime, maintaining prudent financial discipline remains crucial.

Profile
Legal Structure

Pakistan National Shipping Corporation (herein referred to as the "PNSC" or "the Corporation") is an autonomous corporation, functioning under the control of the Ministry of Maritime Affairs, Government of Pakistan. The Corporation is listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange since 1980, and has nineteen subsidiaries and one associated concern.

Background

PNSC came into existence by the merger of National Shipping Corporation (NSC) and Pakistan Shipping Corporation (PSC) in 1979 through Pakistan National Shipping Corporation Ordinance, No XX, 1979. The Corporation is entirely autonomous and is managed by its Board of Directors (BoD).

Operations

PNSC, being the national flag carrier of Pakistan, is involved in the transportation of dry bulk and liquid cargoes globally through managed and chartered vessels. The Corporation manages a fleet of 12 vessels, consisting of 7 tankers and 5 bulk carriers. The cargo carrying capacity of PNSC stands at ~938,876 DWT as at End-Sep'24. A small portion of PNSC's operations also comprises income from real estate business.

Ownership
Ownership Structure

PNSC is majorly owned by the Government of Pakistan (GoP) (87.56%), through the Ministry of Maritime Affairs, followed by the PNSC Employees Empowerment Trust (1.57%), bringing the total GoP holding to 89.13%. As a listed company, the remaining shares are distributed among the general public and financial institutions.

Stability

The Corporation has a stable ownership structure, with the GoP holding majority shareholding since its inception, ensuring consistent oversight and strategic direction through the Ministry of Maritime Affairs. Additionally, the enactment of the State-Owned Enterprise (Governance and Operations) Act, 2023 (SOE Act), along with the issuance of the State-Owned Enterprise (Operation & Management) Policy (SOE Policy) in November 2023, further strengthens its governance framework. Under Section 9(a) of Chapter 3 of the SOE Policy, the Corporation has been classified as a Strategic SOE by the Cabinet Committee on State-Owned Enterprises.

Business Acumen

The Corporation was formed under constitutional protection with an objective of providing the Country with a national flag shipping service. Major stakeholder in the Corporation is the GoP, combined with the Corporation's experience in navigating complex global maritime markets and maintaining operational efficiency, reinforces its strong business acumen.

Financial Strength

The financial strength of the Corporation is considered strong due to the majority ownership of the GoP. The Corporation is a non-budgetary autonomous body utilizes its own resources.

Governance
Board Structure

The PNSC Board of Directors (BoD) currently comprises ten members, with eight directors appointed by the Federal Government, including two Ex-officio Directors and the Chairman. Additionally, two directors are elected by shareholders for a term of three years. The Chief Executive Officer will be appointed by the Federal Government from a pool of three candidates recommended by the Board.

Members’ Profile

The Federal Government, through its Cabinet decision, approved the appointment of five Directors to the PNSC Board for a three-year term starting September 23, 2024. These include Mr. Sultan A. Chawla the Chairman of the BoD, Mr. Arif Habib, Mr. Khalil Ahmed, Mr. Khawaja Shahzeb Akram, and Ms. Nadia Osman Jung. Other members are Mr. Qumar Sarwar Abbasi, Additional Finance Secretary (Corporate Finance); Mr. Umar Zafar Sheikh, Additional Secretary, Ministry of Maritime Affairs; Mr. Muhammad Ali, a seasoned energy and petrochemical expert currently leading JS Group’s industrial portfolio; Capt. Sarfaraz Inayatullah Qureshi, a reputed engineer and naval architect with over 41 years of maritime experience; and Mr. Ahsan Ali Malik, Group Director of The Waterlink Group with expertise in shipping, energy, and infrastructure development. This well-rounded Board brings diverse expertise and strong leadership to PNSC.

Board Effectiveness

The PNSC Board has established four committees to strengthen governance and oversight: (i) Audit Committee, chaired by Mr. Muhammad Ali, (ii) Procurement Committee, led by Mr. Khalil Ahmed, (iii) HR, Nomination, and CSR Committee, headed by Mr. Arif Habib, and (iv) Strategy and Risk Management Committee, chaired by Ms. Nadia Osman Jung. The frequency of meetings for the aforementioned committees is as follows: The Audit & Finance Committee held five quarterly meetings, while the HR, Nomination, and CSR Committee convened fifteen meetings on an as-needed basis. The Strategy and Risk Management Committee, along with the Vessels Procurement Committee, met as required, depending on specific needs and circumstances. The Corporation remains committed to good governance, aligning its practices with the Companies Act 2017, Pakistan Stock Exchange rules, and the Listed Companies (Code of Corporate Governance) Regulations, 2019.

Financial Transparency

The Corporation has an effective internal audit department, while GT Anjum Rehman Chartered Accountants and Yousuf Adil Chartered Accountants serve as the external auditors. They have provided an unqualified opinion and review on the consolidated financial statements for the year ended June 30th, 2024.

Management
Organizational Structure

PNSC has a well-defined organizational structure supported by a professional management team. The reporting lines are clearly established, ensuring efficient communication and accountability within the Corporation.

Management Team

Seasoned professionals with long-standing associations with PNSC hold key management positions within the Corporation. Rear Admiral Jawad Ahmed, SI (M), was relieved of his duties as CEO on March 3rd, 2024, and the position remains vacant, awaiting appointment by the Federal Government. The management team is strengthened by Mr. S. Jarar Haider Kazmi, Executive Director (Finance) / Chief Financial Officer of PNSC, who has been with the PNSC Group since October 2005 and has a 29-year career in finance. Mr. Khurram Mirza, Executive Director (Special Projects & Planning), is a Certified Management Accountant (CMA) from the Institute of Management Accountants (IMA), USA, and has been involved in numerous business development projects both domestically and internationally. Captain Mustafa Kizilbash, Executive Director (Commercial), is a Fellow Member of the Institute of Chartered Shipbrokers, UK., Mr. Syed Muhammad Babur, Executive Director (Ship Management), is an engineer with expertise in analyzing organizational needs and translating them into achievable goals through teamwork. Mr. Zeeshan Taqvi, Chief Accountant, is a Fellow Member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Pakistan (ICAP). Additionally, the team includes Mr. Muhammad Javid Ansari, Company Secretary, and Mr. Fayyaz Amin Malik, Chief Internal Auditor. All of these professionals are supported by an experienced team, ensuring the efficient operations and governance of the Corporation.

Effectiveness

To maintain effective oversight of business operations, twelve management committees have been established, comprising various key management personnel. These committees play a crucial role in ensuring efficient decision-making, strategic planning, and the overall smooth functioning of the Corporation.

MIS

PNSC employs the "DANAOS" Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) software for its Management Information System (MIS) reporting, replacing the previously used "Ship Management Expert System" (SES). This system facilitates an online connection between the vessels and the head office, ensuring real-time data sharing and operational efficiency. Additionally, the Corporation utilizes "Purple Finder," an international satellite tracking system, to monitor its fleet. With equipment trackers installed on the vessels, this system enables accurate and continuous tracking of the fleet's location.

Control Environment

The Corporation relishes on strong governance practices and a well-structured management system. It features a hierarchical organizational structure with clearly defined lines of responsibility, ensuring accountability at all levels. This is further supported by an integrated, well-established information system that effectively supports the functions essential to a shipping corporation.

Business Risk
Industry Dynamics

The shipping industry is experiencing strong performance, with the Clark Sea Index averaging $24,000/day in Q1, 35% above the 10-year trend, continuing the positive momentum from 2023. Seaborne trade volumes rose by 3% in 2023 to 12.4 billion tons, with a projected 2% increase to 12.6 billion tons in 2024. Container markets saw a boost from Red Sea rerouting, doubling spot freight rates and increasing charter rates by 37% since December. Bulk carriers are off to a strong start with steady cargo volumes and limited new build orders. Fleet growth is projected at ~3%, reaching 2.5 billion dwt in 2024.

Relative Position

PNSC, with a total DWT capacity of 938,876 metric tons, transported approximately 9.94mln tons of cargo during FY24, (FY 2023: 10.83mln tons), accounting for about 10.31% (FY 2023: 13.06%) of the country's total seaborne trade volume of 96.37mln tons (FY 2023: 82.95mln tons). The liquid bulk segment primarily includes crude oil variants imported by refineries and OMCs, with white oil (e.g., MOGAS) gaining prominence due to a global and domestic shift toward cleaner energy sources. PNSC holds a significant ~32% share in liquid bulk cargo and ~2% in dry bulk. As the sole national flag carrier, PNSC operates a fleet of bulk carriers and oil tankers, representing 100% of Pakistan's registered fleet.

Revenues

During FY24, PNSC's revenue declined by 15% to PKR 46,363mln (FY23: PKR 54,597mln), with 1QFY25 turnover at PKR 10,839mln (1QFY24: PKR 13,296mln). Revenue from crude oil and charter-in vessels fell by PKR 835mln and PKR 1,880mln, respectively, while dry cargo revenue improved by 20% (PKR 210mln) due to higher charter rates. Key factors contributing to the decline in revenue included lower refinery freight rates ($11.39/MT vs. $12.44/MT), a drop in the World Scale index (6.17 vs. 6.77), and a 5% decline in the USD exchange rate (PKR 278 vs. PKR 293). However, bulk carrier charter rates increased by 28% year-on-year. The AFRA rate remained relatively stable at $169/MT in 1QFY25 but declined significantly from $214/MT in FY23, contributing to the lower revenue in FY24.

Margins

During FY24, the gross profit margin declined to approximately 41%, compared to ~50% in the same period last year (SPLY). This reduction was primarily driven by a 21% drop in average AFRA rates, from 214 to 169, and a 39% decrease in the average charter rate per day, from USD 13,894 to USD 8,504. Additionally, costs increased significantly due to the following factors: • Higher depreciation expenses resulting from the capitalization of drydocking costs. • A substantial rise in repair and maintenance expenses as well as stores and spares consumption, necessitated by extensive maintenance work required for the ageing fleet. Consequently, net profit margins declined to 43% in FY24, compared to 55% in FY23. In 1QFY25, gross and net margins improved, standing at 44% and 52%, respectively. The improvement in net margins was primarily due to: • A 24% increase in other income, driven by efficient treasury management. • A 65% reduction in group-level finance costs, resulting from the full repayment of a long-term loan for the procurement of two LR-1 vessels, M.T. Bolan and M.T. Khairpur, in September 2023.

Sustainability

PNSC’s fleet currently includes five aging Aframax tankers nearing the end of their operational life. In response to global pressures for fleet renewal and stricter decarbonization regulations set for 2030 and 2050, PNSC has launched a modernization strategy by tendering for up to four new Aframax/LR-2 tankers. This move aims to replace the aging fleet with environmentally compliant, future-ready vessels. Opting for new builds over secondhand tonnage underscores PNSC’s focus on sustainability, operational efficiency, and long-term competitiveness, while aligning with global trends in environmental responsibility.

Financial Risk
Working capital

During FY24, the Corporation's working capital requirements remained low, primarily supported by internal cash flow generation. The business model demonstrates a well-optimized cash conversion and payment cycle, reflected in its sound gross working capital days (14 days in FY24, improving to 11 days in 1QFY25) and net working capital days (10 days in FY24, reduced to 7 days in 1QFY25).

Coverages

During 1QFY25, the Corporation's financial performance showed significant improvement in cash flow and debt management. Free Cash Flow from Operations (FCFO) increased to 43.6x, up from 23.1x in FY24 and 20.7x in FY23, driven by periodic loan repayments leading to reduced borrowings. Additionally, the interest coverage ratio remained strong at 13.5x, indicating strong capacity to meet interest obligations and improved financial stability.

Capitalization

The Corporation maintains a low-leverage structure, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.7% in 1QFY25, slightly down from 3.1% in FY24, reflecting minimal long-term borrowings. However, the planned acquisition of new vessels will necessitate substantial capital investment, likely increasing gearing levels. This could moderate the Corporation's strong financial metrics in the future, requiring careful management to balance growth and financial stability.

 
 

Dec-24

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Sep-24
3M
Jun-24
12M
Jun-23
12M
Jun-22
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 35,785 36,960 36,079 26,921
2. Investments 51,169 43,857 30,633 11,416
3. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
4. Current Assets 17,705 19,077 19,278 15,059
a. Inventories 0 0 0 0
b. Trade Receivables 3,471 3,826 5,969 5,312
5. Total Assets 104,659 99,894 85,990 53,396
6. Current Liabilities 6,962 7,602 6,828 5,691
a. Trade Payables 455 525 482 459
7. Borrowings 2,619 2,836 7,342 4,609
8. Related Party Exposure 0 0 0 0
9. Non-Current Liabilities 1,118 1,129 740 713
10. Net Assets 93,960 88,328 71,080 42,383
11. Shareholders' Equity 93,960 88,328 71,080 42,383
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 10,839 46,363 54,597 27,714
a. Cost of Good Sold (6,074) (27,561) (27,616) (19,713)
2. Gross Profit 4,765 18,802 26,981 8,001
a. Operating Expenses (439) (2,004) (1,609) (2,569)
3. Operating Profit 4,325 16,799 25,373 5,432
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 2,183 6,974 7,915 1,396
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 6,508 23,772 33,288 6,828
a. Total Finance Cost (140) (1,015) (1,411) (531)
b. Taxation (734) (2,576) (1,882) (647)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) 5,634 20,182 29,994 5,650
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 4,602 17,785 27,139 8,860
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 4,445 16,836 25,908 8,351
c. Changes in Working Capital 241 129 (1,985) (374)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities 4,687 16,965 23,923 7,977
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities (7,331) (24,613) (8,354) 3,787
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities (218) (7,650) 1,442 (1,927)
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period (2,862) (15,298) 17,010 9,836
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) -6.5% -15.1% 97.0% 116.7%
b. Gross Profit Margin 44.0% 40.6% 49.4% 28.9%
c. Net Profit Margin 52.0% 43.5% 54.9% 20.4%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) 44.7% 38.6% 46.1% 30.6%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 24.7% 25.3% 52.9% 14.2%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 31 39 38 40
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 27 35 35 35
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.6
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 43.6 23.1 20.7 18.3
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 13.5 10.1 4.7 6.0
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 2.7% 3.1% 9.4% 9.8%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 67.3 44.0 42.5 10.7
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 16.2% 22.4% 18.8% 9.4%

Dec-24

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Dec-24

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Dec-24

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