Rating History
Dissemination Date Long-Term Rating Short-Term Rating Outlook Action Rating Watch
28-Mar-25 A A2 Stable Initial -
About the Entity

HNDS Energy Limited was incorporated as a private limited company under the repealed Companies Ordinance, 1984 (subsequently replaced by the Companies Act, 2017) on April 28, 2015. The Company transitioned to a public unlisted company on December 30, 2021. The Board of Directors consists of three members from the sponsoring groups. Mr. Usman Ahmed is the CEO.

Rating Rationale

HNDS Energy Limited ("HNDS" or "the Company") has successfully established a 50 MWp solar power plant in Goth Gagrawara, Taluka Saleh Pat, District Sukkur. The assigned ratings are supported by its association with Scatec ASA ("Scatec"), a leading Norwegian renewable energy company, formerly known as Scatec Solar ASA. Scatec specializes in developing, constructing, owning, and operating renewable energy systems in emerging markets. Scatec maintains operational and financial control through governance structures, shareholder agreements, and contracts, often serving as the project developer, EPC provider, operator, maintenance, and asset manager. By the end of 2023, Scatec had 4.2 GW of renewable energy assets in operation and under construction across four continents. Scatec has launched its first project in the country—a 150 MWp solar power plant. The project is developed through three private companies, which are predominantly owned by Scatec Sukhur B.V., a wholly owned subsidiary of Scatec Solar Netherlands B.V., based in the Netherlands. Scatec Sukhur B.V. holds a 75% equity stake in HNDS, while the remaining 25% is owned by the Pakistani company Nizam Energy (Private) Limited. HNDS benefits from a long-term Energy Purchase Agreement (EPA) with the power purchaser, CPPA-G, for 25 years from the Commercial Operations Date (COD), mitigating business and economic risks. The EPA is backed by sovereign guarantees regarding payment obligations from the power purchaser. The RCOD was initially extended due to the floods and set for June 2023. The Company applied for a further extension, which was approved, making the new RCOD December 01, 2023. However, HNDS achieved its COD on January 10, 2024, due to Force Majeure events covered in the contract. Under the EPA, if there are missed volumes due to curtailment by the power purchaser, the power purchaser is liable to compensate for the missed volumes based on the tariff rates. The long-term EPA, coupled with NPMV coverage, provides comfort in terms of offtake risk and revenue stability. However, the Company's revenues and cash flows are still influenced by solar irradiance, as unexpected weather conditions, such as storms or cloud cover, can reduce solar energy capture, impacting electricity generation and potentially leading to seasonality in cash flows. During CY24, the plant has successfully generated and supplied 92.4 GWh of energy to the national grid. The total project cost amounted to USD 38.124 million, with debt financing covering 80% of the total project cost. The debt structure consists of 60% foreign funding and 40% local financing. The Company has arranged an SBLC, providing coverage for the two quarterly installments of financial obligations, offering comfort to lenders. HNDS was awarded a cost-plus tariff by the authority on February 21, 2020. The management has submitted a request for a tariff true-up, with the decision expected from the authority in FY26. Meanwhile, the Company has been granted an Interim Tariff. The O&M of the plant is managed by Scatec. HNDS has adequate insurance coverage to mitigate business interruption risks, further assurance for the ratings.

Key Rating Drivers

Maintaining operational performance as per agreed levels is crucial for sustaining the Company’s ratings. Key factors influencing future ratings include improvements in payment receipt patterns, debt repayment behavior, and liquidity. Additionally, external risks such as regulatory changes or financial profile deterioration could impact the ratings.

Profile
Plant

HNDS Energy Limited (“HNDS” or “the Company”) was established as a private limited company under the repealed Companies Ordinance, 1984 (currently the Companies Act, 2017) on April 28, 2015. The Company transitioned to a public unlisted company on December 30, 2021. Its primary business activity is the development, ownership, operation, and maintenance of a 50MW solar power plant located in Goth Gagrawara, Taluka Saleh Pat, District Sukkur. The plant commenced commercial operations (COD) on January 10, 2024. The Company’s registered office is located at G-30/4, KDA Scheme, Clifton, Karachi.


Tariff

HNDS was awarded a cost-plus reference levelized tariff of PKR 5.6988/kWh (equivalent to US Cents 3.6683/kWh) on February 21, 2020. The tariff, determined by a Build-Own-Operate (BOO) model, is indexed to the Pakistan Rupee-US Dollar exchange rate and adjusted for inflation using Pakistan Consumer Price Indices (CPIs). The scalable components of the tariff include principal and interest repayments, return on equity (ROE), insurance and operation and maintenance (O&M) costs.


Return on Project

The Authority has approved a Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Equity During Construction (ROEDC) for HNDS at a rate of 14%.


Ownership
Ownership Structure

Scatec Sukkur B.V., a wholly owned subsidiary of Scatec Solar Netherlands B.V. (based in the Netherlands), is itself a wholly owned subsidiary of Scatec ASA (Scatec), a prominent Norwegian renewable energy company. Scatec Sukkur B.V. holds a 75% equity stake in HNDS, with the remaining 25% owned by Nizam Energy (Pvt.) Limited.


Stability

Scatec, established on February 2, 2007, is a publicly listed Norwegian company incorporated and headquartered in Norway, with its registered office located at Askekroken 11, NO-0277 Oslo, Norway. As a leading provider of renewable energy solutions, Scatec is dedicated to accelerating access to reliable and affordable clean energy in emerging markets. With a long-term commitment to sustainability, Scatec develops, builds, owns, and operates renewable energy plants. Currently, the Company has around 5 GW of renewable energy assets in operation and under construction across four continents. Driven by a shared vision of "Improving our Future," Scatec’s passionate employees and partners are committed to expanding the company's renewable energy capacity. Nizam Energy (Pvt.) Limited, established in 2012, specializes in providing EPC (Engineering, Procurement, and Construction) services, Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), and the distribution of high-quality solar panels, inverters, and lithium battery storage solutions. In collaboration with Nizam Energy, Scatec Solar has developed and grid-connected a 150 MWp solar power portfolio in Sukkur, Pakistan, which includes HNDS. This partnership is solidified by a formal agreement, strengthening the Company's stability and long-term prospects.


Business Acumen

By capitalizing on its extensive experience and deep understanding of the energy sector, Scatec has built a strong portfolio across solar, wind, and hydropower projects, with a keen emphasis on long-term value creation. The company’s ability to secure and manage complex EPC contracts, alongside its expertise in navigating regulatory environments and securing financing, underpins its growth. Scatec’s partnerships with local and international players, such as its collaboration with Nizam Energy in Pakistan, further solidify its market presence and enable it to deliver impactful energy solutions. Through a combination of innovation, strategic partnerships, and a commitment to sustainability, Scatec continues to strengthen its position as a leader in the global renewable energy market.


Financial Strength

Scatec benefits from a diversified income stream across multiple geographies and energy sectors. The Company’s ability to attract significant capital investment, secure financing for large-scale projects, and manage risk through structured contracts, such as PPAs, enhances its financial stability. Scatec's group revenue is approximately NOK 12,714 million, with an EBITDA in the range of NOK 3,845 million. Scatec’s healthy balance sheet, coupled with its operational efficiency, positions the Company to capitalize on new opportunities, ensuring continued growth and resilience in a competitive market. Meanwhile, Nizam Group's revenue as of June 2023 is approximately PKR 24.8 billion.


Governance
Board Structure

The Board of Directors (BoD) of HNDS is composed of three executive members, including the CEO, representing the interests of the Company's sponsors.


Members’ Profile

1. Mr. Jawad Ali, a Chartered Accountant by profession, is a Nominee Director for Scatec Sukkur BV. He is currently appointed as the Finance and Asset Manager for Scatec ASA operations in Pakistan and oversees all financial and commercial matters.  He has previously worked in the local power sector in the same domain and has 19 years of experience in Project Finance, Financial Reporting, Treasury operations and Stakeholder Management. 

2. Mr. Mark Ravunni, a Chartered Accountant by profession, is a Nominee Director for Scatec Sukkur BV and is presently appointed as VP Finance and Asset Management for Scatec ASA. He has vast experience of over 30 years in finance, Business Development and Asset Management.


Board Effectiveness

The board brings together a wealth of diverse expertise from various industries, ensuring a broad and comprehensive approach to governance. This diverse composition enables effective strategic decision-making, with a focus on leveraging the members' varied backgrounds to guide the company's growth and long-term success. Through their collective experience and leadership, the Board ensures that HNDS operates with strong oversight, sound judgment, and a commitment to delivering value to its stakeholders.


Financial Transparency

A.F. Ferguson & Co., Chartered Accountants, a member firm of PwC, serves as the external auditor for HNDS. The firm has issued an unqualified opinion on the Company's financial statements for CY23, confirming that the financial position is presented fairly and free from any material misstatements.


Management
Organizational Structure

HNDS operates with a structured organizational framework that includes clearly defined reporting lines. Each department is led by experienced professionals who report directly to the CEO, ensuring efficient decision-making and accountability across the company. The CEO, in turn, reports to the BoD, strengthening the Company's governance and oversight mechanisms. This clear hierarchy supports effective management and reinforces a robust governance framework, promoting transparency and strategic alignment throughout the organization.


Management Team

The CEO, Mr. Usman Ahmed is an Entrepreneur and belongs to a family of businessmen having an interest in diverse sectors. A graduate in Computer Information Systems and Business, Mr. Usman has over 10 years of experience working in his family businesses. Subsequently, he also serves as the CEO of Nizam Energy, looking after its operations and growth perspectives. Furthermore, he is also serving as a Non-Executive Director on the board of H. Nizam Din & Sons (Pvt) Limited. The remaining team members are qualified professionals with relevant experience looking after the day-to-day operations of the Company including invoicing, managing receivables and payables, debt repayments, and other matters.


Effectiveness

The management of HNDS demonstrates effectiveness through its structured organization, experienced leadership, and clear reporting lines. The management is supported by the board, which oversees the plant’s overall performance and ensures optimal effectiveness through regular evaluations, provides guidance, and supports key decision-making for the smooth operations of the Company.


Control Environment

The Company maintains an adequate MIS that enables the management to effectively monitor operations and maintain seamless coordination with the O&M operator. Additionally, the presence of an in-house internal audit department ensures proactive identification and management of risks arising from operations, reinforcing the company’s commitment to transparency, efficiency, and operational resilience.


Operational Risk
Power Purchase Agreement

HNDS has entered into an Energy Purchase Agreement (EPA) with the Central Power Purchasing Agency (Guarantee) Limited (CPPA-G), the designated Power Purchaser, for a term of 25 years, commencing from the Commercial Operations Date (COD) on January 10, 2024. Under the terms of the EPA, HNDS is entitled to receive energy payments against the delivered energy during the period.


Operation and Maintenance

The operations and maintenance of HNDS are managed by Scatec, which follows an integrated business model across the entire lifecycle of renewable energy projects. This model encompasses project development, financing, construction, ownership, and ongoing operation and maintenance. Scatec’s approach ensures seamless execution and long-term sustainability by maintaining a strong focus on every phase of the renewable energy plant’s development and operation. With its extensive expertise and global experience, Scatec is committed to delivering high-quality, reliable, and efficient energy solutions, driving the success of HNDS throughout its operational life.


Resource Risk

The resource risk for Independent Power Producers (IPPs) under Pakistan's Renewable Energy Policy 2006 for solar energy primarily stems from the variability in sunlight availability, directly impacting energy generation. Under this policy, the IPP bears the resource risk, meaning that if solar output is lower than expected due to insufficient sunlight, it will affect the revenue of the solar plant. The policy encourages IPPs to mitigate this risk through efficient project design, such as the use of solar tracking systems and energy storage solutions. However, any reduction in generation due to low solar radiation directly influences the IPP's revenue, as the risk of resource availability is not transferred to the Power Purchaser or the government. For HNDS, the trend in solar generation will evolve as the plant continues its operations.


Insurance Cover

HNDS has adequate insurance coverage for business interruptions, property damages, etc., as per the agreements.


Performance Risk
Industry Dynamics

In FY24, Pakistan's power generation declined by 1.9%, totaling 127,160 GWh. This marks the second consecutive year of reduced output, driven by elevated electricity costs, rising inflation, and lower economic activity. The country's power generation remains heavily reliant on thermal and hydel sources, contributing approx. 45% and 31%, respectively, in FY24. The share of nuclear energy has notably increased to approx. 19% in FY24, while renewable energy sources continue to constitute a modest 5% of the total generation. Recently, the Government of Pakistan (GoP) resumed negotiations with Independent Power Producers (IPPs) and established a special task force to implement structural reforms in the power sector. The ongoing process aims to lower generation costs and make electricity more affordable, although the outcomes of these negotiations are yet to be seen.


Generation

HNDS began its commercial operations on January 10, 2024. During CY24, the plant has successfully generated and supplied 92.4 GWh of energy to the national grid.


Performance Benchmark

As per the EPA, the Company is required to maintain the plant's efficiency and availability factors to prevent the power purchaser from charging liquidated damages to the Company. Hence, during the period, the plant maintained its required benchmarks.


Financial Risk
Financing Structure Analysis

The total project cost, including cost overruns, amounted to USD 38.124 million, with the EPC cost being the largest component, totaling USD 29.417 million. The sponsors' initial equity contribution was USD 6.332 million (16.61%), with Scatec contributed USD 4.749 million (75%) and Nizam contributing USD 1.583 million (25%), of which half remains to be injected. The total cost overruns and funding shortfall amounted to USD 10.419 million, of which USD 2.1 million is yet to be injected, entirely to be contributed by Scatec. The remaining portion of the project cost, USD 21.373 million, is funded through a mix of 40% local debt and 60% foreign debt. The foreign debt is sourced from FMO, while the local debt is obtained from a consortium of local banks.


Liquidity Profile

With the plant completing its first year of commercial operations, the Company's trade receivables, which include outstanding payments from CPPA-G against energy delivered, have risen to PKR 612 million as of the end of Dec 2024. As a result, the Company's Gross Working Capital days stood at 106 days. As circular debt continues to be an issue for companies operating in the power sector, consequently, IPPs have to manage their liquidity requirements from short-term borrowings.


Working Capital Financing

The Company had only obtained a loan from the sponsors to cover the cost overruns during the construction of the project. Post-COD, the Company has been managing its operations from internal cash generation resulting from completing one year of successful operations. Furthermore, the management plans to obtain a PKR 300 million working capital facility from local lenders to meet its operational needs.


Cash Flow Analysis

The Company's cash flows are derived from the sale of electricity at an agreed tariff to the power purchaser. During the first year of operations, the Company reported adequate FCFOs standing at PKR 896 million, which is expected to improve going forward as the true-up tariff will approve. With high finance costs as a result of peaking interest rates during the period, the Company reported an interest coverage (EBITDA/Finance Cost) of 0.9x.


Capitalization

As of the end of December 2024, the Company's leverage stood at 108.5% as a result of fully drawn long-term project-related debt along with a negative equity position. Going forward, as the Company keeps on generating and supplying electricity to the power purchaser along with making timely payments against outstanding debt obligations, the leveraging ratio is expected to decline over time.


 
 

Mar-25

www.pacra.com


Dec-24
12M
Dec-23
12M
A. BALANCE SHEET
1. Non-Current Assets 8,042 7,506
2. Investments 0 0
3. Related Party Exposure 0 0
4. Current Assets 1,039 1,591
a. Inventories 0 0
b. Trade Receivables 612 10
5. Total Assets 9,082 9,097
6. Current Liabilities 1,548 2,369
a. Trade Payables 5 2
7. Borrowings 5,605 5,987
8. Related Party Exposure 2,569 1,065
9. Non-Current Liabilities 0 0
10. Net Assets (640) (324)
11. Shareholders' Equity (640) (324)
B. INCOME STATEMENT
1. Sales 1,074 10
a. Cost of Good Sold (457) 0
2. Gross Profit 617 10
a. Operating Expenses (55) (9)
3. Operating Profit 562 1
a. Non Operating Income or (Expense) 101 12
4. Profit or (Loss) before Interest and Tax 663 13
a. Total Finance Cost (979) (1,165)
b. Taxation 0 (3)
6. Net Income Or (Loss) (316) (1,156)
C. CASH FLOW STATEMENT
a. Free Cash Flows from Operations (FCFO) 896 (61)
b. Net Cash from Operating Activities before Working Capital Changes 106 (61)
c. Changes in Working Capital (1,275) (3,509)
1. Net Cash provided by Operating Activities (1,170) (3,571)
2. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Investing Activities (775) (1,711)
3. Net Cash (Used in) or Available From Financing Activities 962 6,253
4. Net Cash generated or (Used) during the period (983) 972
D. RATIO ANALYSIS
1. Performance
a. Sales Growth (for the period) 10384.1% #DIV/0!
b. Gross Profit Margin 57.5% 100.0%
c. Net Profit Margin -29.5% -11284.1%
d. Cash Conversion Efficiency (FCFO adjusted for Working Capital/Sales) -35.4% -34858.0%
e. Return on Equity [ Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * (Total Assets/Shareholders' Equity )] 49.4% 428.1%
2. Working Capital Management
a. Gross Working Capital (Average Days) 106 365
b. Net Working Capital (Average Days) 105 322
c. Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities) 0.7 0.7
3. Coverages
a. EBITDA / Finance Cost 0.9 0.0
b. FCFO / Finance Cost+CMLTB+Excess STB 0.5 -0.0
c. Debt Payback (Total Borrowings+Excess STB) / (FCFO-Finance Cost) -103.9 -6.4
4. Capital Structure
a. Total Borrowings / (Total Borrowings+Shareholders' Equity) 108.5% 104.8%
b. Interest or Markup Payable (Days) 0.0 0.0
c. Entity Average Borrowing Rate 12.9% 30.1%

Mar-25

www.pacra.com

Mar-25

www.pacra.com

  1. Rating Team Statements
    1. Rating is just an opinion about the creditworthiness of the entity and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security of the entity rated or to buy, hold, or sell the security rated, as the case may be. (Chapter III; 14-3-(x))
    2. Conflict of Interest
      1. The Rating Team or any of their family members have no interest in this rating (Chapter III; 12-2-(j))
      2. PACRA, the analysts involved in the rating process, and members of its rating committee and their family members do not have any conflict of interest relating to the rating done by them (Chapter III; 12-2-(e) & (k))
      3. The analyst is not a substantial shareholder of the customer being rated by PACRA [Annexure F; d-(ii)]
      4. Explanation: for the purpose of the above clause, the term "family members" shall include only those family members who are dependent on the analyst and members of the rating committee.
  2. Restrictions
    1. No director, officer, or employee of PACRA communicates the information acquired by him for use for rating purposes to any other person, except where required under law to do so. (Chapter III; 10-(5))
    2. PACRA does not disclose or discuss with outside parties or make improper use of the non-public information which has come to its knowledge during a business relationship with the customer. (Chapter III; 10-7-(d))
    3. PACRA does not make proposals or recommendations regarding the activities of rated entities that could impact a credit rating of the entity subject to rating. (Chapter III; 10-7-(k))
  3. Conduct of Business
    1. PACRA fulfills its obligations in a fair, efficient, transparent, and ethical manner and renders high standards of services in performing its functions and obligations. (Chapter III; 11-A-(a))
    2. PACRA uses due care in the preparation of this Rating Report. Our information has been obtained from sources we consider to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. PACRA does not, in every instance, independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing this Rating Report. (Clause 11-(A)(p))
    3. PACRA prohibits its employees and analysts from soliciting money, gifts, or favors from anyone with whom PACRA conducts business. (Chapter III; 11-A-(q))
    4. PACRA ensures before the commencement of the rating process that an analyst or employee has not had a recent employment or other significant business or personal relationship with the rated entity that may cause or may be perceived as causing a conflict of interest. (Chapter III; 11-A-(r))
    5. PACRA maintains the principle of integrity in seeking rating business. (Chapter III; 11-A-(u))
    6. PACRA promptly investigates in the event of misconduct or a breach of the policies, procedures, and controls, and takes appropriate steps to rectify any weaknesses to prevent any recurrence, along with suitable punitive action against the responsible employee(s). (Chapter III; 11-B-(m))
  4. Independence & Conflict of Interest
    1. PACRA receives compensation from the entity being rated or any third party for the rating services it offers. The receipt of this compensation has no influence on PACRA’s opinions or other analytical processes. In all instances, PACRA is committed to preserving the objectivity, integrity, and independence of its ratings. Our relationship is governed by two distinct mandates: i) rating mandate - signed with the entity being rated or issuer of the debt instrument, and ii) fee mandate - signed with the payer, which can be different from the entity.
    2. PACRA does not provide consultancy/advisory services or other services to any of its customers or their associated companies and associated undertakings that are being rated or have been rated by it during the preceding three years, unless it has an adequate mechanism in place ensuring that the provision of such services does not lead to a conflict of interest situation with its rating activities. (Chapter III; 12-2-(d))
    3. PACRA discloses that no shareholder directly or indirectly holding 10% or more of the share capital of PACRA also holds directly or indirectly 10% or more of the share capital of the entity which is subject to rating or the entity which issued the instrument subject to rating by PACRA. (Chapter III; 12-2-(f))
    4. PACRA ensures that the rating assigned to an entity or instrument is not affected by the existence of a business relationship between PACRA and the entity or any other party, or the non-existence of such a relationship. (Chapter III; 12-2-(i))
    5. PACRA ensures that the analysts or any of their family members shall not buy, sell, or engage in any transaction in any security which falls in the analyst’s area of primary analytical responsibility. This clause, however, does not apply to investments in securities through collective investment schemes. (Chapter III; 12-2-(l))
    6. PACRA has established policies and procedures governing investments and trading in securities by its employees and for monitoring the same to prevent insider trading, market manipulation, or any other market abuse. (Chapter III; 11-B-(g))
  5. Monitoring and Review
    1. PACRA monitors all the outstanding ratings continuously, and any potential change therein due to any event associated with the issuer, the security arrangement, the industry, etc., is disseminated to the market immediately and in an effective manner after appropriate consultation with the entity/issuer. (Chapter III; 17-(a))
    2. PACRA reviews all the outstanding ratings periodically on an annual basis. Provided that public dissemination of annual review and in an instance of change in rating will be made. (Chapter III; 17-(b))
    3. PACRA initiates an immediate review of the outstanding rating upon becoming aware of any information that may reasonably be expected to result in downgrading of the rating. (Chapter III; 17-(c))
    4. PACRA engages with the issuer and the debt securities trustee to remain updated on all information pertaining to the rating of the entity/instrument. (Chapter III; 17-(d))
  6. Probability of Default
    1. PACRA’s Rating Scale reflects the expectation of credit risk. The highest rating has the lowest relative likelihood of default (i.e., probability). PACRA’s transition studies capture the historical performance behavior of a specific rating notch. Transition behavior of the assigned rating can be obtained from PACRA’s Transition Study available at our website. (www.pacra.com) However, the actual transition of rating may not follow the pattern observed in the past. (Chapter III; 14-3(f)(vii))
  7. Proprietary Information
    1. All information contained herein is considered proprietary by PACRA. Hence, none of the information in this document can be copied or otherwise reproduced, stored, or disseminated in whole or in part in any form or by any means whatsoever by any person without PACRA’s prior written consent.

Mar-25

www.pacra.com